Recent US-China summit talks in mid-May produced incremental steps toward trade stabilization, including announcements on Chinese purchases of US aircraft and agricultural goods plus new bilateral boards for investment and trade, yet yielded conflicting accounts over any broad tariff reductions. President Trump stated that tariffs were not discussed, while Chinese officials described preliminary agreements on equivalent cuts and barrier easing, but no comprehensive formal deal has been announced. A Supreme Court ruling earlier this month limiting executive tariff authority and the short window remaining before May 31 further constrain prospects for swift resolution. These developments have shaped trader consensus around the low likelihood of a finalized US-China tariff agreement by the deadline, reflecting the ongoing, measured pace of negotiations rather than a breakthrough.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
$69,932 Wol.
$69,932 Wol.
May 31, 2026
$69,932 Wol.
$69,932 Wol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent US-China summit talks in mid-May produced incremental steps toward trade stabilization, including announcements on Chinese purchases of US aircraft and agricultural goods plus new bilateral boards for investment and trade, yet yielded conflicting accounts over any broad tariff reductions. President Trump stated that tariffs were not discussed, while Chinese officials described preliminary agreements on equivalent cuts and barrier easing, but no comprehensive formal deal has been announced. A Supreme Court ruling earlier this month limiting executive tariff authority and the short window remaining before May 31 further constrain prospects for swift resolution. These developments have shaped trader consensus around the low likelihood of a finalized US-China tariff agreement by the deadline, reflecting the ongoing, measured pace of negotiations rather than a breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Rynek otwarty: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$69,932Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent US-China summit talks in mid-May produced incremental steps toward trade stabilization, including announcements on Chinese purchases of US aircraft and agricultural goods plus new bilateral boards for investment and trade, yet yielded conflicting accounts over any broad tariff reductions. President Trump stated that tariffs were not discussed, while Chinese officials described preliminary agreements on equivalent cuts and barrier easing, but no comprehensive formal deal has been announced. A Supreme Court ruling earlier this month limiting executive tariff authority and the short window remaining before May 31 further constrain prospects for swift resolution. These developments have shaped trader consensus around the low likelihood of a finalized US-China tariff agreement by the deadline, reflecting the ongoing, measured pace of negotiations rather than a breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Wolumen
$69,932Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-China summit talks in mid-May produced incremental steps toward trade stabilization, including announcements on Chinese purchases of US aircraft and agricultural goods plus new bilateral boards for investment and trade, yet yielded conflicting accounts over any broad tariff reductions. President Trump stated that tariffs were not discussed, while Chinese officials described preliminary agreements on equivalent cuts and barrier easing, but no comprehensive formal deal has been announced. A Supreme Court ruling earlier this month limiting executive tariff authority and the short window remaining before May 31 further constrain prospects for swift resolution. These developments have shaped trader consensus around the low likelihood of a finalized US-China tariff agreement by the deadline, reflecting the ongoing, measured pace of negotiations rather than a breakthrough.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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