Recent US sanctions expansions, including “Operation Economic Outcast” targeting shipping, aviation, and third-party networks, combined with a naval blockade and severed UAE trade links, have driven the free-market USD/IRR rate above 2.2 million in early September. Iranian oil exports have fallen sharply, widening the gap between official and street rates while inflation exceeds 80 percent year-on-year. Central Bank pledges of a $2 billion intervention and claims of adequate reserves have so far failed to reverse the slide. With roughly four months until year-end, traders assign nearly equal weight to scenarios of further weakening versus stabilization, reflecting uncertainty over sanctions enforcement intensity, any diplomatic shifts, and oil revenue flows that could alter the trajectory by December.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUSD x Iranian rials End of December?
<2.0M 28%
2.5 - 3.0M 28%
2.0 - 2.5M 16%
3.0 - 3.5M 15%
<2.0M
28%
2.0 - 2.5M
16%
2.5 - 3.0M
28%
3.0 - 3.5M
15%
3.5 - 4.0M
6%
4.0M+
5%
<2.0M 28%
2.5 - 3.0M 28%
2.0 - 2.5M 16%
3.0 - 3.5M 15%
<2.0M
28%
2.0 - 2.5M
16%
2.5 - 3.0M
28%
3.0 - 3.5M
15%
3.5 - 4.0M
6%
4.0M+
5%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent US sanctions expansions, including “Operation Economic Outcast” targeting shipping, aviation, and third-party networks, combined with a naval blockade and severed UAE trade links, have driven the free-market USD/IRR rate above 2.2 million in early September. Iranian oil exports have fallen sharply, widening the gap between official and street rates while inflation exceeds 80 percent year-on-year. Central Bank pledges of a $2 billion intervention and claims of adequate reserves have so far failed to reverse the slide. With roughly four months until year-end, traders assign nearly equal weight to scenarios of further weakening versus stabilization, reflecting uncertainty over sanctions enforcement intensity, any diplomatic shifts, and oil revenue flows that could alter the trajectory by December.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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