US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and removed him from Venezuela to face charges, shifting formal power to acting president Delcy Rodríguez under the constitutional line of succession and Supreme Court rulings. Chavista-aligned institutions, including the National Assembly led by Jorge Rodríguez and loyal security forces, have maintained continuity, with Delcy consolidating authority through limited reforms, sanctions relief, and diplomatic engagement with the United States focused on stability and energy sector cooperation. No new presidential elections have been scheduled despite opposition calls from figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who face ongoing restrictions on political activity. Traders assign Maduro the highest probability due to the regime's institutional resilience and potential for his eventual return or recognition, while pricing opposition outcomes low amid the absence of verified electoral processes or broader power shifts by late 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPrzywódca Wenezueli koniec 2026 roku?
Przywódca Wenezueli koniec 2026 roku?
Nicolás Maduro 79.5%
Delcy Rodríguez 12%
María Corina Machado 4.8%
Brak głowy państwa 1.4%
$91,889,579 Wol.
$91,889,579 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
79%
Delcy Rodríguez
12%
María Corina Machado
5%
Brak głowy państwa
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 79.5%
Delcy Rodríguez 12%
María Corina Machado 4.8%
Brak głowy państwa 1.4%
$91,889,579 Wol.
$91,889,579 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$1,905,152 Wol.
79%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,660,080 Wol.
12%
María Corina Machado
$1,306,263 Wol.
5%
Brak głowy państwa
$1,361,443 Wol.
1%
Edmundo González
$1,078,139 Wol.
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,048,670 Wol.
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,973,958 Wol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$974,776 Wol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,718,946 Wol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$718,023 Wol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,369,156 Wol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,167,780 Wol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,882,289 Wol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,526,678 Wol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,380,829 Wol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,817,414 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and removed him from Venezuela to face charges, shifting formal power to acting president Delcy Rodríguez under the constitutional line of succession and Supreme Court rulings. Chavista-aligned institutions, including the National Assembly led by Jorge Rodríguez and loyal security forces, have maintained continuity, with Delcy consolidating authority through limited reforms, sanctions relief, and diplomatic engagement with the United States focused on stability and energy sector cooperation. No new presidential elections have been scheduled despite opposition calls from figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who face ongoing restrictions on political activity. Traders assign Maduro the highest probability due to the regime's institutional resilience and potential for his eventual return or recognition, while pricing opposition outcomes low amid the absence of verified electoral processes or broader power shifts by late 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$91,889,579Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and removed him from Venezuela to face charges, shifting formal power to acting president Delcy Rodríguez under the constitutional line of succession and Supreme Court rulings. Chavista-aligned institutions, including the National Assembly led by Jorge Rodríguez and loyal security forces, have maintained continuity, with Delcy consolidating authority through limited reforms, sanctions relief, and diplomatic engagement with the United States focused on stability and energy sector cooperation. No new presidential elections have been scheduled despite opposition calls from figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who face ongoing restrictions on political activity. Traders assign Maduro the highest probability due to the regime's institutional resilience and potential for his eventual return or recognition, while pricing opposition outcomes low amid the absence of verified electoral processes or broader power shifts by late 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Wolumen
$91,889,579Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and removed him from Venezuela to face charges, shifting formal power to acting president Delcy Rodríguez under the constitutional line of succession and Supreme Court rulings. Chavista-aligned institutions, including the National Assembly led by Jorge Rodríguez and loyal security forces, have maintained continuity, with Delcy consolidating authority through limited reforms, sanctions relief, and diplomatic engagement with the United States focused on stability and energy sector cooperation. No new presidential elections have been scheduled despite opposition calls from figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who face ongoing restrictions on political activity. Traders assign Maduro the highest probability due to the regime's institutional resilience and potential for his eventual return or recognition, while pricing opposition outcomes low amid the absence of verified electoral processes or broader power shifts by late 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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