Incumbent Republican Phil Scott’s established record and cross-party appeal continue to anchor trader expectations for the November 2026 Vermont gubernatorial contest. Scott secured his party’s nomination with near-unanimous support in the August 11 primary and faces Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her primary. University of New Hampshire surveys from June and July showed Scott ahead by double digits, consistent with historical patterns of Vermont voters re-electing moderate Republican governors even in a state carried by Democratic presidential candidates. Janoo’s limited statewide profile and the short general-election window limit opportunities to close the gap. Traders have priced the Republican outcome at 88 percent, reflecting these structural and polling fundamentals while leaving modest room for late-cycle shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoVermont Governor Election Winner
$48,686 Wol.
$48,686 Wol.

Republican
88%

Democrat
12%
$48,686 Wol.
$48,686 Wol.

Republican
88%

Democrat
12%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott’s established record and cross-party appeal continue to anchor trader expectations for the November 2026 Vermont gubernatorial contest. Scott secured his party’s nomination with near-unanimous support in the August 11 primary and faces Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her primary. University of New Hampshire surveys from June and July showed Scott ahead by double digits, consistent with historical patterns of Vermont voters re-electing moderate Republican governors even in a state carried by Democratic presidential candidates. Janoo’s limited statewide profile and the short general-election window limit opportunities to close the gap. Traders have priced the Republican outcome at 88 percent, reflecting these structural and polling fundamentals while leaving modest room for late-cycle shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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