Recent housing data through mid-2026 shows Miami median sale prices stabilizing near $590K–$650K amid rising inventory, longer days on market, and modest year-over-year declines or flat performance, reflecting a shift from prior appreciation. These trends, alongside elevated mortgage rates and increased condo supply, underpin trader consensus around the $1.089M–$1.125M range at 49.5% implied probability, as the market prices in limited further upside before September 30 resolution. Key near-term catalysts include any August or September economic releases on rates or migration flows that could influence final index levels used for settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?
$1.089M - $1.125M 49%
$1.053M - $1.089M 27%
$1.125M - $1.161M 14.2%
$1.017M - $1.053M 6.0%
$57,794 Wol.
$57,794 Wol.
<$1.017M
3%
$1.017M - $1.053M
6%
$1.053M - $1.089M
27%
$1.089M - $1.125M
49%
$1.125M - $1.161M
14%
$1.161M - $1.196M
3%
$1.196M+
1%
$1.089M - $1.125M 49%
$1.053M - $1.089M 27%
$1.125M - $1.161M 14.2%
$1.017M - $1.053M 6.0%
$57,794 Wol.
$57,794 Wol.
<$1.017M
3%
$1.017M - $1.053M
6%
$1.053M - $1.089M
27%
$1.089M - $1.125M
49%
$1.125M - $1.161M
14%
$1.161M - $1.196M
3%
$1.196M+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing data through mid-2026 shows Miami median sale prices stabilizing near $590K–$650K amid rising inventory, longer days on market, and modest year-over-year declines or flat performance, reflecting a shift from prior appreciation. These trends, alongside elevated mortgage rates and increased condo supply, underpin trader consensus around the $1.089M–$1.125M range at 49.5% implied probability, as the market prices in limited further upside before September 30 resolution. Key near-term catalysts include any August or September economic releases on rates or migration flows that could influence final index levels used for settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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