Recent increases in active listings—up nearly 50% year-over-year in the DC metro area—combined with longer days on market and modest year-over-year declines in home values (around 1.7% through July 2026 per Zillow data) have shaped trader sentiment around the $512K–$524K range. Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and uncertainty tied to federal employment shifts continue to weigh on buyer demand, supporting the close split between the leading $512K–$518K (42.4%) and $518K–$524K (34.2%) outcomes. Seasonal patterns through late summer and any acceleration in inventory absorption could differentiate the bins before September 30 resolution, while broader forecasts point to roughly 1% price softening for the full year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
$512K - $518K 39.7%
$518K - $524K 35.0%
$524K - $530K 16.8%
<$512K 12.6%
$34,207 Wol.
$34,207 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$512K
9%
$512K - $518K
40%
$518K - $524K
35%
$524K - $530K
15%
$530K - $536K
4%
$536K - $542K
6%
$542K+
5%
$512K - $518K 39.7%
$518K - $524K 35.0%
$524K - $530K 16.8%
<$512K 12.6%
$34,207 Wol.
$34,207 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$512K
$877 Wol.
9%
$512K - $518K
$3,470 Wol.
40%
$518K - $524K
$9,429 Wol.
35%
$524K - $530K
$4,395 Wol.
15%
$530K - $536K
$4,122 Wol.
4%
$536K - $542K
$7,787 Wol.
6%
$542K+
$4,128 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent increases in active listings—up nearly 50% year-over-year in the DC metro area—combined with longer days on market and modest year-over-year declines in home values (around 1.7% through July 2026 per Zillow data) have shaped trader sentiment around the $512K–$524K range. Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and uncertainty tied to federal employment shifts continue to weigh on buyer demand, supporting the close split between the leading $512K–$518K (42.4%) and $518K–$524K (34.2%) outcomes. Seasonal patterns through late summer and any acceleration in inventory absorption could differentiate the bins before September 30 resolution, while broader forecasts point to roughly 1% price softening for the full year.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$34,207Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent increases in active listings—up nearly 50% year-over-year in the DC metro area—combined with longer days on market and modest year-over-year declines in home values (around 1.7% through July 2026 per Zillow data) have shaped trader sentiment around the $512K–$524K range. Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and uncertainty tied to federal employment shifts continue to weigh on buyer demand, supporting the close split between the leading $512K–$518K (42.4%) and $518K–$524K (34.2%) outcomes. Seasonal patterns through late summer and any acceleration in inventory absorption could differentiate the bins before September 30 resolution, while broader forecasts point to roughly 1% price softening for the full year.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Wolumen
$34,207Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent increases in active listings—up nearly 50% year-over-year in the DC metro area—combined with longer days on market and modest year-over-year declines in home values (around 1.7% through July 2026 per Zillow data) have shaped trader sentiment around the $512K–$524K range. Elevated mortgage rates near 6% and uncertainty tied to federal employment shifts continue to weigh on buyer demand, supporting the close split between the leading $512K–$518K (42.4%) and $518K–$524K (34.2%) outcomes. Seasonal patterns through late summer and any acceleration in inventory absorption could differentiate the bins before September 30 resolution, while broader forecasts point to roughly 1% price softening for the full year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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