Recent data from sources like Zillow and Redfin show New York City home values rising modestly year-over-year, with typical values near $830K–$885K amid persistent low inventory and elevated mortgage rates around 6.5%. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51.4% implied probability for the $636K–$663K bin, aligns with expectations of continued gradual appreciation through September, supported by steady demand in a supply-constrained market. Key near-term catalysts include any August or September economic releases on inflation and labor conditions that could influence rate expectations, alongside seasonal transaction patterns. The narrower range around current levels captures the market-implied path given limited volatility in recent months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
$636K - $663K 52.0%
$609K - $636K 25.6%
$582K - $609K 6.9%
$663K - $689K 6.9%
$31,495 Wol.
$31,495 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$555K
<1%
$555K - $582K
1%
$582K - $609K
7%
$609K - $636K
26%
$636K - $663K
52%
$663K - $689K
9%
$689K+
6%
$636K - $663K 52.0%
$609K - $636K 25.6%
$582K - $609K 6.9%
$663K - $689K 6.9%
$31,495 Wol.
$31,495 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$555K
$628 Wol.
<1%
$555K - $582K
$1,880 Wol.
1%
$582K - $609K
$508 Wol.
7%
$609K - $636K
$7,118 Wol.
26%
$636K - $663K
$19,911 Wol.
52%
$663K - $689K
$687 Wol.
9%
$689K+
$762 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent data from sources like Zillow and Redfin show New York City home values rising modestly year-over-year, with typical values near $830K–$885K amid persistent low inventory and elevated mortgage rates around 6.5%. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51.4% implied probability for the $636K–$663K bin, aligns with expectations of continued gradual appreciation through September, supported by steady demand in a supply-constrained market. Key near-term catalysts include any August or September economic releases on inflation and labor conditions that could influence rate expectations, alongside seasonal transaction patterns. The narrower range around current levels captures the market-implied path given limited volatility in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$31,495Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent data from sources like Zillow and Redfin show New York City home values rising modestly year-over-year, with typical values near $830K–$885K amid persistent low inventory and elevated mortgage rates around 6.5%. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51.4% implied probability for the $636K–$663K bin, aligns with expectations of continued gradual appreciation through September, supported by steady demand in a supply-constrained market. Key near-term catalysts include any August or September economic releases on inflation and labor conditions that could influence rate expectations, alongside seasonal transaction patterns. The narrower range around current levels captures the market-implied path given limited volatility in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Wolumen
$31,495Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data from sources like Zillow and Redfin show New York City home values rising modestly year-over-year, with typical values near $830K–$885K amid persistent low inventory and elevated mortgage rates around 6.5%. Trader consensus, reflected in the 51.4% implied probability for the $636K–$663K bin, aligns with expectations of continued gradual appreciation through September, supported by steady demand in a supply-constrained market. Key near-term catalysts include any August or September economic releases on inflation and labor conditions that could influence rate expectations, alongside seasonal transaction patterns. The narrower range around current levels captures the market-implied path given limited volatility in recent months.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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