Recent increases in active listings across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro, now exceeding 15,000 units as of July 2026, combined with softening year-over-year price growth in core segments, anchor trader focus on the $512K–$530K range. Higher mortgage rates relative to pandemic-era lows continue to weigh on buyer affordability and transaction volumes, while easing federal hiring and budget uncertainty add localized demand pressure. With September 30 resolution weeks away, upcoming housing data releases and any Federal Reserve communications on rate paths represent key swing factors that could shift the narrow implied-probability margins among the leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
$518K - $524K 34.2%
$512K - $518K 26.6%
$524K - $530K 18.6%
<$512K 12.6%
$32,436 Wol.
$32,436 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$512K
13%
$512K - $518K
27%
$518K - $524K
34%
$524K - $530K
19%
$530K - $536K
4%
$536K - $542K
5%
$542K+
5%
$518K - $524K 34.2%
$512K - $518K 26.6%
$524K - $530K 18.6%
<$512K 12.6%
$32,436 Wol.
$32,436 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$512K
$877 Wol.
13%
$512K - $518K
$1,716 Wol.
27%
$518K - $524K
$9,429 Wol.
34%
$524K - $530K
$4,377 Wol.
19%
$530K - $536K
$4,122 Wol.
4%
$536K - $542K
$7,787 Wol.
5%
$542K+
$4,128 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent increases in active listings across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro, now exceeding 15,000 units as of July 2026, combined with softening year-over-year price growth in core segments, anchor trader focus on the $512K–$530K range. Higher mortgage rates relative to pandemic-era lows continue to weigh on buyer affordability and transaction volumes, while easing federal hiring and budget uncertainty add localized demand pressure. With September 30 resolution weeks away, upcoming housing data releases and any Federal Reserve communications on rate paths represent key swing factors that could shift the narrow implied-probability margins among the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$32,436Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent increases in active listings across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro, now exceeding 15,000 units as of July 2026, combined with softening year-over-year price growth in core segments, anchor trader focus on the $512K–$530K range. Higher mortgage rates relative to pandemic-era lows continue to weigh on buyer affordability and transaction volumes, while easing federal hiring and budget uncertainty add localized demand pressure. With September 30 resolution weeks away, upcoming housing data releases and any Federal Reserve communications on rate paths represent key swing factors that could shift the narrow implied-probability margins among the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Wolumen
$32,436Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent increases in active listings across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro, now exceeding 15,000 units as of July 2026, combined with softening year-over-year price growth in core segments, anchor trader focus on the $512K–$530K range. Higher mortgage rates relative to pandemic-era lows continue to weigh on buyer affordability and transaction volumes, while easing federal hiring and budget uncertainty add localized demand pressure. With September 30 resolution weeks away, upcoming housing data releases and any Federal Reserve communications on rate paths represent key swing factors that could shift the narrow implied-probability margins among the leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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