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Gospodarka·Real Estate

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
Gospodarka·Real Estate

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?

Sep 30

Sep 30

$518K - $524K 34.2%

$524K - $530K 30.0%

$512K - $518K 26.6%

<$512K 12.6%

Polymarket

$32,447 Wol.

$518K - $524K 34.2%

$524K - $530K 30.0%

$512K - $518K 26.6%

<$512K 12.6%

Polymarket

$32,447 Wol.

<$512K

$877 Wol.

13%

$512K - $518K

$1,716 Wol.

27%

$518K - $524K

$9,429 Wol.

34%

$524K - $530K

$4,388 Wol.

21%

$530K - $536K

$4,122 Wol.

4%

$536K - $542K

$7,787 Wol.

7%

$542K+

$4,128 Wol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent softening in DC Metro home values, driven by elevated inventory levels and federal workforce policy uncertainty, anchors trader sentiment around the $518K-$524K range at 34.2% implied probability. Year-over-year price declines of 1.7-2.2% through mid-2026, coupled with rising active listings and slower sales velocity, reflect reduced demand pressures amid mortgage rates near 6%. Forecasts from Bright MLS and others project modest 2026 declines near 1%, supporting the closely contested bins between $512K-$530K that together exceed 60% probability. With resolution weeks away, upcoming seasonal data releases and any shifts in Treasury yields or labor market indicators could tip the narrow spread between the top two outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Wolumen
$32,447
Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent softening in DC Metro home values, driven by elevated inventory levels and federal workforce policy uncertainty, anchors trader sentiment around the $518K-$524K range at 34.2% implied probability. Year-over-year price declines of 1.7-2.2% through mid-2026, coupled with rising active listings and slower sales velocity, reflect reduced demand pressures amid mortgage rates near 6%. Forecasts from Bright MLS and others project modest 2026 declines near 1%, supporting the closely contested bins between $512K-$530K that together exceed 60% probability. With resolution weeks away, upcoming seasonal data releases and any shifts in Treasury yields or labor market indicators could tip the narrow spread between the top two outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Wolumen
$32,447
Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)

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Często zadawane pytania

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "$518K - $524K" z 34%, za nim "$512K - $518K" z 27%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 34¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 34% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?" wygenerował $32.4K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jul 1, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?" jest "$518K - $524K" z 34%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 34% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "$512K - $518K" z 27%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.