Trader consensus prices Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualification slots yielding powerhouses like Spain, France, England, Germany, and Portugal—all recent power rankings leaders following dominant Euro 2024 performances and flawless qualifying campaigns that wrapped March 31. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL's six direct qualifiers including defending champions Argentina and Brazil, whose round-robin consistency underscores their perennial threat despite fewer spots. Africa's nine slots boosted Morocco and Senegal to 3.5%, but historical knockout struggles cap upside; Asia (Japan, Iran at 2.9%), North America (hosts USA, Canada, Mexico at 2.3%), and Oceania trail due to depth gaps exposed in expanded qualifiers. Group draws favor European matchups, amplifying their edge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKtóry kontynent wygra Mistrzostwa Świata w Piłce Nożnej 2026?
Który kontynent wygra Mistrzostwa Świata w Piłce Nożnej 2026?
Europa 73%
Ameryka Południowa 21%
Afryka 3.6%
Azja 2.9%
$2,140,417 Wol.
$2,140,417 Wol.
Europa
73%
Ameryka Południowa
21%
Afryka
4%
Azja
3%
Ameryka Północna
2%
Oceania
<1%
Europa 73%
Ameryka Południowa 21%
Afryka 3.6%
Azja 2.9%
$2,140,417 Wol.
$2,140,417 Wol.
Europa
$150,429 Wol.
73%
Ameryka Południowa
$213,381 Wol.
21%
Afryka
$1,004,117 Wol.
4%
Azja
$259,871 Wol.
3%
Ameryka Północna
$233,854 Wol.
2%
Oceania
$278,765 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualification slots yielding powerhouses like Spain, France, England, Germany, and Portugal—all recent power rankings leaders following dominant Euro 2024 performances and flawless qualifying campaigns that wrapped March 31. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL's six direct qualifiers including defending champions Argentina and Brazil, whose round-robin consistency underscores their perennial threat despite fewer spots. Africa's nine slots boosted Morocco and Senegal to 3.5%, but historical knockout struggles cap upside; Asia (Japan, Iran at 2.9%), North America (hosts USA, Canada, Mexico at 2.3%), and Oceania trail due to depth gaps exposed in expanded qualifiers. Group draws favor European matchups, amplifying their edge.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,140,417Rynek otwarty
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualification slots yielding powerhouses like Spain, France, England, Germany, and Portugal—all recent power rankings leaders following dominant Euro 2024 performances and flawless qualifying campaigns that wrapped March 31. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL's six direct qualifiers including defending champions Argentina and Brazil, whose round-robin consistency underscores their perennial threat despite fewer spots. Africa's nine slots boosted Morocco and Senegal to 3.5%, but historical knockout struggles cap upside; Asia (Japan, Iran at 2.9%), North America (hosts USA, Canada, Mexico at 2.3%), and Oceania trail due to depth gaps exposed in expanded qualifiers. Group draws favor European matchups, amplifying their edge.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$2,140,417Rynek otwarty
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualification slots yielding powerhouses like Spain, France, England, Germany, and Portugal—all recent power rankings leaders following dominant Euro 2024 performances and flawless qualifying campaigns that wrapped March 31. South America's 20.5% reflects CONMEBOL's six direct qualifiers including defending champions Argentina and Brazil, whose round-robin consistency underscores their perennial threat despite fewer spots. Africa's nine slots boosted Morocco and Senegal to 3.5%, but historical knockout struggles cap upside; Asia (Japan, Iran at 2.9%), North America (hosts USA, Canada, Mexico at 2.3%), and Oceania trail due to depth gaps exposed in expanded qualifiers. Group draws favor European matchups, amplifying their edge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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