Europe’s concentration of elite national teams, including Spain, France, England, Portugal, and Germany, drives the strong trader consensus at 71.5 percent implied probability for a continental champion. Recent power rankings place multiple European sides at the top ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament in North America, bolstered by deep squads, strong recent qualifying and Nations League results, and favorable group draws. South America’s 21.5 percent reflects the continued threat from defending champions Argentina and a resurgent Brazil, though both face tougher paths through competitive groups. Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania remain at single-digit levels due to limited overall depth and historical performance gaps against UEFA and CONMEBOL powerhouses.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKtóry kontynent wygra Mistrzostwa Świata w Piłce Nożnej 2026?
Europa 72%
Ameryka Południowa 22%
Afryka 3.5%
Azja 3.0%
$2,259,182 Wol.
$2,259,182 Wol.
Europa
72%
Ameryka Południowa
22%
Afryka
3%
Azja
3%
Ameryka Północna
2%
Oceania
<1%
Europa 72%
Ameryka Południowa 22%
Afryka 3.5%
Azja 3.0%
$2,259,182 Wol.
$2,259,182 Wol.
Europa
72%
Ameryka Południowa
22%
Afryka
3%
Azja
3%
Ameryka Północna
2%
Oceania
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe’s concentration of elite national teams, including Spain, France, England, Portugal, and Germany, drives the strong trader consensus at 71.5 percent implied probability for a continental champion. Recent power rankings place multiple European sides at the top ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament in North America, bolstered by deep squads, strong recent qualifying and Nations League results, and favorable group draws. South America’s 21.5 percent reflects the continued threat from defending champions Argentina and a resurgent Brazil, though both face tougher paths through competitive groups. Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania remain at single-digit levels due to limited overall depth and historical performance gaps against UEFA and CONMEBOL powerhouses.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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