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Polityka·Eric Adams

Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?

icon for Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?
Polityka·Eric Adams

Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?

NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$40 Wol.

Polymarket

Israel

$0 Wol.

12%

China

$20 Wol.

11%

Russia

$20 Wol.

8%

Sudan

$0 Wol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. Former New York City Mayor Eric Adams received full Albanian citizenship and a passport on April 10 via special presidential decree at his request, following a 2025 visit that highlighted his "international mayor" affinity for the Balkan nation; both countries permit dual citizenship. No other nations have extended similar honors amid his post-office activities, with no diplomatic announcements or summits signaling potential grants from markets like Sudan or Israel. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for listed countries due to geopolitical hurdles and absence of bilateral ties, with resolution by December 31, 2026, requiring credible confirmation of honorary or full citizenship. No scheduled events loom to alter dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$40
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. Former New York City Mayor Eric Adams received full Albanian citizenship and a passport on April 10 via special presidential decree at his request, following a 2025 visit that highlighted his "international mayor" affinity for the Balkan nation; both countries permit dual citizenship. No other nations have extended similar honors amid his post-office activities, with no diplomatic announcements or summits signaling potential grants from markets like Sudan or Israel. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities for listed countries due to geopolitical hurdles and absence of bilateral ties, with resolution by December 31, 2026, requiring credible confirmation of honorary or full citizenship. No scheduled events loom to alter dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$40
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country makes Eric Adams a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from Eric Adams indicating intent to seek citizenship from the listed country will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from the listed country or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Eric Adams a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only the listed country's actually making Eric Adams a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of the listed country or Eric Adams. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 4 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Israel" z 12%, za nim "China" z 11%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 12¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 12% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Apr 14, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?", przeglądaj 4 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?" jest "Israel" z 12%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 12% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "China" z 11%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.