FIFA's repeated confirmations that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup, backed by Gianni Infantino's statements on unity and approved base-camp adjustments to Tijuana, Mexico, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus for no replacement. Geopolitical tensions and a U.S. envoy's suggestion to swap in Italy prompted swift rejections from FIFA, Italian officials who deemed the idea inappropriate and contrary to on-pitch qualification standards, and Iranian federation moves to resolve visa and security logistics. Potential alternatives like the UAE or Bolivia remain speculative contingencies tied only to an unlikely Iranian withdrawal, with no credible developments supporting roster changes this close to the tournament.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich team will replace Iran at World Cup?
Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?
No Replacement 99.8%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
Other <1%
$96,827 Wol.
$96,827 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
100%
Italy
1%
UAE
<1%
Other
<1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 99.8%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
Other <1%
$96,827 Wol.
$96,827 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
$38,976 Wol.
100%
Italy
$40,939 Wol.
1%
UAE
$6,652 Wol.
<1%
Other
$6,625 Wol.
<1%
Bolivia
$3,634 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA's repeated confirmations that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup, backed by Gianni Infantino's statements on unity and approved base-camp adjustments to Tijuana, Mexico, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus for no replacement. Geopolitical tensions and a U.S. envoy's suggestion to swap in Italy prompted swift rejections from FIFA, Italian officials who deemed the idea inappropriate and contrary to on-pitch qualification standards, and Iranian federation moves to resolve visa and security logistics. Potential alternatives like the UAE or Bolivia remain speculative contingencies tied only to an unlikely Iranian withdrawal, with no credible developments supporting roster changes this close to the tournament.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$96,827Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA's repeated confirmations that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup, backed by Gianni Infantino's statements on unity and approved base-camp adjustments to Tijuana, Mexico, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus for no replacement. Geopolitical tensions and a U.S. envoy's suggestion to swap in Italy prompted swift rejections from FIFA, Italian officials who deemed the idea inappropriate and contrary to on-pitch qualification standards, and Iranian federation moves to resolve visa and security logistics. Potential alternatives like the UAE or Bolivia remain speculative contingencies tied only to an unlikely Iranian withdrawal, with no credible developments supporting roster changes this close to the tournament.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$96,827Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA's repeated confirmations that Iran will compete in the 2026 World Cup, backed by Gianni Infantino's statements on unity and approved base-camp adjustments to Tijuana, Mexico, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus for no replacement. Geopolitical tensions and a U.S. envoy's suggestion to swap in Italy prompted swift rejections from FIFA, Italian officials who deemed the idea inappropriate and contrary to on-pitch qualification standards, and Iranian federation moves to resolve visa and security logistics. Potential alternatives like the UAE or Bolivia remain speculative contingencies tied only to an unlikely Iranian withdrawal, with no credible developments supporting roster changes this close to the tournament.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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