Recent diplomatic momentum centers on the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and follow-on technical talks in Switzerland on June 21–22, which produced a 60-day roadmap toward a comprehensive US-Iran agreement covering nuclear issues, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and Lebanon deconfliction mechanisms. Mediators Qatar and Pakistan have facilitated progress, including Iran’s reported commitment to resume IAEA inspections and US preparations for temporary sanctions waivers. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi both described the initial sessions as constructive, setting the stage for additional negotiating rounds or working groups before the mid-August target. These verified steps, alongside the extended ceasefire framework, shape trader assessments of likely participants in any further talks by the August 31 deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
Aug 31, 2026
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
75%
Steve Witkoff
74%
Jared Kushner
74%
Abbas Araghchi
74%
J.D. Vance
74%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
51%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
51%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
51%
Marco Rubio
51%
Kazem Gharibabadi
51%
Ishaq Dar
51%
Masoud Pezeshkian
40%
Rafael Grossi
34%
Pete Hegseth
33%
Esmail Qaani
22%
Donald Trump
15%
Ahmad Vahidi
8%
Mojtaba Khamenei
4%
$77 Wol.
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$0 Wol.
75%
Steve Witkoff
$0 Wol.
74%
Jared Kushner
$0 Wol.
74%
Abbas Araghchi
$0 Wol.
74%
J.D. Vance
$0 Wol.
74%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$0 Wol.
51%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$0 Wol.
51%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$0 Wol.
51%
Marco Rubio
$0 Wol.
51%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$0 Wol.
51%
Ishaq Dar
$0 Wol.
51%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$77 Wol.
40%
Rafael Grossi
$0 Wol.
34%
Pete Hegseth
$0 Wol.
33%
Esmail Qaani
$0 Wol.
22%
Donald Trump
$0 Wol.
15%
Ahmad Vahidi
$0 Wol.
8%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum centers on the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and follow-on technical talks in Switzerland on June 21–22, which produced a 60-day roadmap toward a comprehensive US-Iran agreement covering nuclear issues, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and Lebanon deconfliction mechanisms. Mediators Qatar and Pakistan have facilitated progress, including Iran’s reported commitment to resume IAEA inspections and US preparations for temporary sanctions waivers. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi both described the initial sessions as constructive, setting the stage for additional negotiating rounds or working groups before the mid-August target. These verified steps, alongside the extended ceasefire framework, shape trader assessments of likely participants in any further talks by the August 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$77Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum centers on the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and follow-on technical talks in Switzerland on June 21–22, which produced a 60-day roadmap toward a comprehensive US-Iran agreement covering nuclear issues, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and Lebanon deconfliction mechanisms. Mediators Qatar and Pakistan have facilitated progress, including Iran’s reported commitment to resume IAEA inspections and US preparations for temporary sanctions waivers. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi both described the initial sessions as constructive, setting the stage for additional negotiating rounds or working groups before the mid-August target. These verified steps, alongside the extended ceasefire framework, shape trader assessments of likely participants in any further talks by the August 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$77Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic momentum centers on the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and follow-on technical talks in Switzerland on June 21–22, which produced a 60-day roadmap toward a comprehensive US-Iran agreement covering nuclear issues, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and Lebanon deconfliction mechanisms. Mediators Qatar and Pakistan have facilitated progress, including Iran’s reported commitment to resume IAEA inspections and US preparations for temporary sanctions waivers. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi both described the initial sessions as constructive, setting the stage for additional negotiating rounds or working groups before the mid-August target. These verified steps, alongside the extended ceasefire framework, shape trader assessments of likely participants in any further talks by the August 31 deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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