High-profile political and legal figures face ongoing investigations, indictments, or appeals that could lead to arrests before 2027, driven by active DOJ cases, congressional probes, and state-level actions against former intelligence officials, lawmakers, and activists. Recent developments include continued litigation involving past administrations' policies, potential enforcement of existing charges related to classified information or election matters, and new probes into corruption or regulatory violations. Scheduled court proceedings, appeals rulings, and any shifts in federal prosecutorial priorities through the remainder of 2026 represent key catalysts that could alter trajectories for specific individuals. International cases, such as those involving South Korean political leaders with pending corruption or election-law matters, add parallel uncertainty tied to domestic judicial timelines and immunity considerations. Trader assessments reflect these procedural realities alongside historical patterns of delayed resolutions in comparable high-stakes matters.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$375,395 Wol.
Anthony Fauci
11%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
22%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
29%
James Clapper
13%
Letitia James
14%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
2%
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
6%
John Kerry
3%
Pam Bondi
4%
Tom Homan
12%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
11%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$375,395 Wol.
Anthony Fauci
$144,286 Wol.
11%
John Brennan
$18,171 Wol.
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$21,739 Wol.
22%
Adam Schiff
$16,402 Wol.
3%
Barack Obama
$28,962 Wol.
2%
James Comey
$9,602 Wol.
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,308 Wol.
29%
James Clapper
$6,726 Wol.
13%
Letitia James
$2,848 Wol.
14%
Hillary Clinton
$25,009 Wol.
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,494 Wol.
2%
Loretta Lynch
$2,376 Wol.
10%
Susan Rice
$304 Wol.
9%
Candace Owens
$263 Wol.
7%
Gavin Newsom
$37,596 Wol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,789 Wol.
6%
John Kerry
$346 Wol.
3%
Pam Bondi
$1,998 Wol.
4%
Tom Homan
$39,684 Wol.
12%
Kash Patel
$530 Wol.
3%
Brandon Johnson
$3,191 Wol.
12%
Lisa Cook
$3,319 Wol.
11%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 Wol.
11%
Joe Biden
$5,658 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High-profile political and legal figures face ongoing investigations, indictments, or appeals that could lead to arrests before 2027, driven by active DOJ cases, congressional probes, and state-level actions against former intelligence officials, lawmakers, and activists. Recent developments include continued litigation involving past administrations' policies, potential enforcement of existing charges related to classified information or election matters, and new probes into corruption or regulatory violations. Scheduled court proceedings, appeals rulings, and any shifts in federal prosecutorial priorities through the remainder of 2026 represent key catalysts that could alter trajectories for specific individuals. International cases, such as those involving South Korean political leaders with pending corruption or election-law matters, add parallel uncertainty tied to domestic judicial timelines and immunity considerations. Trader assessments reflect these procedural realities alongside historical patterns of delayed resolutions in comparable high-stakes matters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$375,395Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High-profile political and legal figures face ongoing investigations, indictments, or appeals that could lead to arrests before 2027, driven by active DOJ cases, congressional probes, and state-level actions against former intelligence officials, lawmakers, and activists. Recent developments include continued litigation involving past administrations' policies, potential enforcement of existing charges related to classified information or election matters, and new probes into corruption or regulatory violations. Scheduled court proceedings, appeals rulings, and any shifts in federal prosecutorial priorities through the remainder of 2026 represent key catalysts that could alter trajectories for specific individuals. International cases, such as those involving South Korean political leaders with pending corruption or election-law matters, add parallel uncertainty tied to domestic judicial timelines and immunity considerations. Trader assessments reflect these procedural realities alongside historical patterns of delayed resolutions in comparable high-stakes matters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$375,395Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...High-profile political and legal figures face ongoing investigations, indictments, or appeals that could lead to arrests before 2027, driven by active DOJ cases, congressional probes, and state-level actions against former intelligence officials, lawmakers, and activists. Recent developments include continued litigation involving past administrations' policies, potential enforcement of existing charges related to classified information or election matters, and new probes into corruption or regulatory violations. Scheduled court proceedings, appeals rulings, and any shifts in federal prosecutorial priorities through the remainder of 2026 represent key catalysts that could alter trajectories for specific individuals. International cases, such as those involving South Korean political leaders with pending corruption or election-law matters, add parallel uncertainty tied to domestic judicial timelines and immunity considerations. Trader assessments reflect these procedural realities alongside historical patterns of delayed resolutions in comparable high-stakes matters.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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