Despite a federal grand jury's April 28, 2026, indictment of former FBI Director James Comey on two counts of threatening President Trump via a social media photo of seashells—his second such case after a 2025 prosecution was dismissed—traders price "No" at 93.5%, reflecting doubts over a swift conviction and sentencing within the year. Comey, who surrendered and hired a Raleigh defense attorney as recently as May 14, faces First Amendment challenges akin to recent Supreme Court true-threat precedents, with pretrial motions, discovery, and potential trial dates pushed to late 2026 or 2027. Legal analysts highlight the thin evidentiary case and procedural hurdles, anchoring trader consensus that resolution remains distant amid ongoing DOJ scrutiny.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$140,787 Wol.
$140,787 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$140,787 Wol.
$140,787 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite a federal grand jury's April 28, 2026, indictment of former FBI Director James Comey on two counts of threatening President Trump via a social media photo of seashells—his second such case after a 2025 prosecution was dismissed—traders price "No" at 93.5%, reflecting doubts over a swift conviction and sentencing within the year. Comey, who surrendered and hired a Raleigh defense attorney as recently as May 14, faces First Amendment challenges akin to recent Supreme Court true-threat precedents, with pretrial motions, discovery, and potential trial dates pushed to late 2026 or 2027. Legal analysts highlight the thin evidentiary case and procedural hurdles, anchoring trader consensus that resolution remains distant amid ongoing DOJ scrutiny.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$140,787Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite a federal grand jury's April 28, 2026, indictment of former FBI Director James Comey on two counts of threatening President Trump via a social media photo of seashells—his second such case after a 2025 prosecution was dismissed—traders price "No" at 93.5%, reflecting doubts over a swift conviction and sentencing within the year. Comey, who surrendered and hired a Raleigh defense attorney as recently as May 14, faces First Amendment challenges akin to recent Supreme Court true-threat precedents, with pretrial motions, discovery, and potential trial dates pushed to late 2026 or 2027. Legal analysts highlight the thin evidentiary case and procedural hurdles, anchoring trader consensus that resolution remains distant amid ongoing DOJ scrutiny.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$140,787Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite a federal grand jury's April 28, 2026, indictment of former FBI Director James Comey on two counts of threatening President Trump via a social media photo of seashells—his second such case after a 2025 prosecution was dismissed—traders price "No" at 93.5%, reflecting doubts over a swift conviction and sentencing within the year. Comey, who surrendered and hired a Raleigh defense attorney as recently as May 14, faces First Amendment challenges akin to recent Supreme Court true-threat precedents, with pretrial motions, discovery, and potential trial dates pushed to late 2026 or 2027. Legal analysts highlight the thin evidentiary case and procedural hurdles, anchoring trader consensus that resolution remains distant amid ongoing DOJ scrutiny.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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