Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus at 44 percent owing to his six-year tenure as IAEA director general and demonstrated ability to engage the permanent Security Council members whose vetoes shape any appointment. Recent interactive dialogues in April 2026 allowed him to outline priorities for a streamlined United Nations, reinforcing perceptions of operational competence ahead of informal straw polls. Maria Fernanda Espinosa and Rebeca Grynspan follow at 21 and 17 percent, respectively, reflecting their prior General Assembly and UNCTAD roles plus regional backing within the Latin American and Caribbean group. Michelle Bachelet holds 13 percent on the strength of her human-rights and presidential record, while calls for the first female secretary-general keep longer-shot names such as Jacinda Ardern in play. The Security Council’s closed consultations scheduled for coming months remain the decisive next step.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWho will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Rafael Grossi 50%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 21.1%
Rebeca Grynspan 16.9%
Michelle Bachelet 8.1%
$60,794 Wol.
$60,794 Wol.
Rafael Grossi
43%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
21%
Rebeca Grynspan
17%
Michelle Bachelet
13%
Jacinda Ardern
3%
Bruno Donat
1%
David Choquehuanca
<1%
Vuk Jeremić
<1%
Mia Mottley
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
<1%
Alicia Bárcena
<1%
Kristalina Georgieva
<1%
Amina Mohammed
<1%
Achim Steiner
<1%
Rafael Grossi 50%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 21.1%
Rebeca Grynspan 16.9%
Michelle Bachelet 8.1%
$60,794 Wol.
$60,794 Wol.
Rafael Grossi
43%
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
21%
Rebeca Grynspan
17%
Michelle Bachelet
13%
Jacinda Ardern
3%
Bruno Donat
1%
David Choquehuanca
<1%
Vuk Jeremić
<1%
Mia Mottley
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
<1%
Alicia Bárcena
<1%
Kristalina Georgieva
<1%
Amina Mohammed
<1%
Achim Steiner
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus at 44 percent owing to his six-year tenure as IAEA director general and demonstrated ability to engage the permanent Security Council members whose vetoes shape any appointment. Recent interactive dialogues in April 2026 allowed him to outline priorities for a streamlined United Nations, reinforcing perceptions of operational competence ahead of informal straw polls. Maria Fernanda Espinosa and Rebeca Grynspan follow at 21 and 17 percent, respectively, reflecting their prior General Assembly and UNCTAD roles plus regional backing within the Latin American and Caribbean group. Michelle Bachelet holds 13 percent on the strength of her human-rights and presidential record, while calls for the first female secretary-general keep longer-shot names such as Jacinda Ardern in play. The Security Council’s closed consultations scheduled for coming months remain the decisive next step.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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