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Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

icon for Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Rafael Grossi 30%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Michelle Bachelet 3.5%

Polymarket

$80,086 Wol.

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Rafael Grossi 30%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Michelle Bachelet 3.5%

Polymarket

$80,086 Wol.

Rebeca Grynspan

$4,573 Wol.

45%

Rafael Grossi

$22,300 Wol.

30%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,875 Wol.

4%

Michelle Bachelet

$26,540 Wol.

3%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$3,039 Wol.

2%

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,912 Wol.

1%

Bruno Donat

$2,417 Wol.

1%

Amina Mohammed

$3,899 Wol.

1%

Mia Mottley

$2,035 Wol.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$2,096 Wol.

<1%

David Choquehuanca

$2,099 Wol.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$2,071 Wol.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$2,679 Wol.

35%

Achim Steiner

$2,551 Wol.

37%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the next UN Secretary-General reflects intense competition among experienced UN insiders and regional frontrunners, with trader consensus showing Rebeca Grynspan narrowly ahead amid multiple viable contenders. The formal selection process, launched in late 2025 with nominations and interactive dialogues through mid-2026, emphasizes transparency and Security Council straw polls that began this summer. Grynspan benefits from early Costa Rican backing, strong "encourage" votes in civil society assessments, and her UNCTAD leadership, while Achim Steiner draws support from his UNDP role and broad administrative reputation. Colombe Cahen-Salvador and Rafael Grossi remain competitive due to emerging momentum and diplomatic profiles. Key separators ahead include further Security Council votes, geopolitical alignments, and any shifts in Latin American or gender-equity preferences that could consolidate backing before an autumn decision.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$80,086
Data zakończenia
Feb 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight race for the next UN Secretary-General reflects intense competition among experienced UN insiders and regional frontrunners, with trader consensus showing Rebeca Grynspan narrowly ahead amid multiple viable contenders. The formal selection process, launched in late 2025 with nominations and interactive dialogues through mid-2026, emphasizes transparency and Security Council straw polls that began this summer. Grynspan benefits from early Costa Rican backing, strong "encourage" votes in civil society assessments, and her UNCTAD leadership, while Achim Steiner draws support from his UNDP role and broad administrative reputation. Colombe Cahen-Salvador and Rafael Grossi remain competitive due to emerging momentum and diplomatic profiles. Key separators ahead include further Security Council votes, geopolitical alignments, and any shifts in Latin American or gender-equity preferences that could consolidate backing before an autumn decision.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$80,086
Data zakończenia
Feb 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 14 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Rebeca Grynspan" z 45%, za nim "Achim Steiner" z 37%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 45¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" wygenerował $80.1K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Dec 11, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?", przeglądaj 14 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" jest "Rebeca Grynspan" z 45%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Achim Steiner" z 37%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.