The Senate advanced President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh toward confirmation as Federal Reserve Chair via a 49-44 cloture vote two days ago, following the Banking Committee's 13-11 approval last month, reflecting narrow Republican control amid some Democratic crossovers like Sens. Fetterman and Coons. Warsh, a former Fed governor, testified April 21 on central bank independence despite past criticisms of prolonged easy money policies, easing prior Democratic concerns over potential White House influence. Traders anticipate a party-line floor vote this week before Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, pricing high consensus among GOP senators for yes votes and low odds for most Democrats, with swing-state moderates as key variables in the 51-seat majority math.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$148,701 Wol.
Thom Tillis
100%
Elizabeth Warren
<1%
Bernie Sanders
<1%
Chuck Schumer
<1%
Lisa Murkowski
100%
Kevin Cramer
100%
John Kennedy
100%
$148,701 Wol.
Thom Tillis
100%
Elizabeth Warren
<1%
Bernie Sanders
<1%
Chuck Schumer
<1%
Lisa Murkowski
100%
Kevin Cramer
100%
John Kennedy
100%
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Senate advanced President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh toward confirmation as Federal Reserve Chair via a 49-44 cloture vote two days ago, following the Banking Committee's 13-11 approval last month, reflecting narrow Republican control amid some Democratic crossovers like Sens. Fetterman and Coons. Warsh, a former Fed governor, testified April 21 on central bank independence despite past criticisms of prolonged easy money policies, easing prior Democratic concerns over potential White House influence. Traders anticipate a party-line floor vote this week before Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, pricing high consensus among GOP senators for yes votes and low odds for most Democrats, with swing-state moderates as key variables in the 51-seat majority math.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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