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Polityka·Partia Demokratyczna

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

icon for Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Polityka·Partia Demokratyczna

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

45% szansa
Polymarket

$18,445 Wol.

45% szansa
Polymarket

$18,445 Wol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The four core Senate contests—Georgia, Maine, Michigan, and North Carolina—remain closely rated toss-ups or leans by major forecasters, with each featuring strong candidates, substantial fundraising, and narrow historical margins in a midterm environment. Georgia’s Jon Ossoff defends a seat in a state carried by the opposing presidential ticket, while Michigan’s open seat after Gary Peters’ retirement, Maine’s Susan Collins incumbency, and North Carolina’s open race after Thom Tillis all show polling volatility and high spending. These structural factors, combined with typical midterm dynamics and the limited path for simultaneous Democratic gains across all four, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the slight majority for “No.” No single late-breaking development has yet shifted the balance decisively in any contest.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).

A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Wolumen
$18,445
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The four core Senate contests—Georgia, Maine, Michigan, and North Carolina—remain closely rated toss-ups or leans by major forecasters, with each featuring strong candidates, substantial fundraising, and narrow historical margins in a midterm environment. Georgia’s Jon Ossoff defends a seat in a state carried by the opposing presidential ticket, while Michigan’s open seat after Gary Peters’ retirement, Maine’s Susan Collins incumbency, and North Carolina’s open race after Thom Tillis all show polling volatility and high spending. These structural factors, combined with typical midterm dynamics and the limited path for simultaneous Democratic gains across all four, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the slight majority for “No.” No single late-breaking development has yet shifted the balance decisively in any contest.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).

A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Wolumen
$18,445
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.

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"Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 45% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 45¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 45% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?" wygenerował $18.4K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jan 13, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

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Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?" to 45% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 45% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

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