Trader consensus around a 74% probability against a woman winning the 2028 presidential election stems primarily from early prediction market and polling dynamics favoring male frontrunners. Republican Vice President JD Vance leads overall nomination and general-election markets at roughly 25%, followed by other men such as Marco Rubio, while the open Democratic field shows Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg atop or near the top of aggregates ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris. Gretchen Whitmer has signaled she will not run, and post-2024 Democratic rebuilding has not yet produced a dominant female contender capable of securing both the nomination and general-election victory. The 2026 midterms and candidate announcements remain key variables that could alter positioning before primaries begin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano26% szansa
$13,151 Wol.
$13,151 Wol.
Nov 6, 2028
26% szansa
$13,151 Wol.
$13,151 Wol.
Nov 6, 2028
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Trader consensus around a 74% probability against a woman winning the 2028 presidential election stems primarily from early prediction market and polling dynamics favoring male frontrunners. Republican Vice President JD Vance leads overall nomination and general-election markets at roughly 25%, followed by other men such as Marco Rubio, while the open Democratic field shows Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg atop or near the top of aggregates ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris. Gretchen Whitmer has signaled she will not run, and post-2024 Democratic rebuilding has not yet produced a dominant female contender capable of securing both the nomination and general-election victory. The 2026 midterms and candidate announcements remain key variables that could alter positioning before primaries begin.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,151Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2028Rynek otwarty
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Trader consensus around a 74% probability against a woman winning the 2028 presidential election stems primarily from early prediction market and polling dynamics favoring male frontrunners. Republican Vice President JD Vance leads overall nomination and general-election markets at roughly 25%, followed by other men such as Marco Rubio, while the open Democratic field shows Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg atop or near the top of aggregates ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris. Gretchen Whitmer has signaled she will not run, and post-2024 Democratic rebuilding has not yet produced a dominant female contender capable of securing both the nomination and general-election victory. The 2026 midterms and candidate announcements remain key variables that could alter positioning before primaries begin.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Wolumen
$13,151Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2028Rynek otwarty
Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus around a 74% probability against a woman winning the 2028 presidential election stems primarily from early prediction market and polling dynamics favoring male frontrunners. Republican Vice President JD Vance leads overall nomination and general-election markets at roughly 25%, followed by other men such as Marco Rubio, while the open Democratic field shows Gavin Newsom, Jon Ossoff, and Pete Buttigieg atop or near the top of aggregates ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris. Gretchen Whitmer has signaled she will not run, and post-2024 Democratic rebuilding has not yet produced a dominant female contender capable of securing both the nomination and general-election victory. The 2026 midterms and candidate announcements remain key variables that could alter positioning before primaries begin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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