The Sudanese Armed Forces' recapture of Khartoum State in May 2025 and the government's return to the capital in January 2026 have shifted control decisively eastward, leaving Rapid Support Forces units concentrated in Darfur and Kordofan with no immediate path to the tri-city area. Ongoing military impasse, SAF consolidation along the Nile corridor, and RSF emphasis on western fronts have produced near-certain trader consensus against any capture by late June. A sudden reversal would require rapid RSF breakthroughs via drones or reinforcements across contested Kordofan lines, or major SAF redeployments that expose central positions, though current territorial realities and supply constraints make such developments unlikely within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
$21,756 Wol.
$21,756 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
$21,756 Wol.
$21,756 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces' recapture of Khartoum State in May 2025 and the government's return to the capital in January 2026 have shifted control decisively eastward, leaving Rapid Support Forces units concentrated in Darfur and Kordofan with no immediate path to the tri-city area. Ongoing military impasse, SAF consolidation along the Nile corridor, and RSF emphasis on western fronts have produced near-certain trader consensus against any capture by late June. A sudden reversal would require rapid RSF breakthroughs via drones or reinforcements across contested Kordofan lines, or major SAF redeployments that expose central positions, though current territorial realities and supply constraints make such developments unlikely within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,756Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces' recapture of Khartoum State in May 2025 and the government's return to the capital in January 2026 have shifted control decisively eastward, leaving Rapid Support Forces units concentrated in Darfur and Kordofan with no immediate path to the tri-city area. Ongoing military impasse, SAF consolidation along the Nile corridor, and RSF emphasis on western fronts have produced near-certain trader consensus against any capture by late June. A sudden reversal would require rapid RSF breakthroughs via drones or reinforcements across contested Kordofan lines, or major SAF redeployments that expose central positions, though current territorial realities and supply constraints make such developments unlikely within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Wolumen
$21,756Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Sudanese Armed Forces' recapture of Khartoum State in May 2025 and the government's return to the capital in January 2026 have shifted control decisively eastward, leaving Rapid Support Forces units concentrated in Darfur and Kordofan with no immediate path to the tri-city area. Ongoing military impasse, SAF consolidation along the Nile corridor, and RSF emphasis on western fronts have produced near-certain trader consensus against any capture by late June. A sudden reversal would require rapid RSF breakthroughs via drones or reinforcements across contested Kordofan lines, or major SAF redeployments that expose central positions, though current territorial realities and supply constraints make such developments unlikely within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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