Sudan’s military leadership under General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has prioritized a military campaign to retake all Rapid Support Forces-held territory, repeatedly rejecting immediate negotiations or US-backed 90-day humanitarian truce proposals without preconditions such as full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. This stance, reiterated in early October statements, has shaped trader views on near-term ceasefire prospects amid continued clashes, drone strikes, and civilian casualties in areas like Blue Nile and Kordofan. Limited progress includes Sudanese Armed Forces acceptance of a one-week IGAD-proposed truce extension in mid-October and prior prisoner-exchange arrangements facilitated by UN envoy Pekka Haavisto. Regional Quintet mediation and UN Security Council actions, such as extending the Darfur arms embargo while blocking broader sanctions, underscore ongoing diplomatic efforts without resolving core battlefield disagreements.