International mediation through the Quad (US, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE) and Quintet (AU, UN, EU, LAS) has produced repeated proposals for humanitarian truces and monitored ceasefires since late 2025, yet both the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces have rejected key terms over withdrawals, sequencing, and external involvement. The SAF has advanced in some areas while the RSF maintains control over much of Darfur, sustaining battlefield incentives against concessions. Recent unannounced consultations by SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan with political groups on a national dialogue conference represent the latest internal initiative, following June 2026 civil society frameworks and earlier prime ministerial proposals, but procedural boycotts and lack of enforcement mechanisms continue to limit momentum. Traders assess these dynamics against the absence of any verified nationwide halt in hostilities as of mid-August 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSudan civil war ceasefire by...?
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$106,279 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
17%
$106,279 Wol.
December 31, 2026
$1,741 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.International mediation through the Quad (US, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE) and Quintet (AU, UN, EU, LAS) has produced repeated proposals for humanitarian truces and monitored ceasefires since late 2025, yet both the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces have rejected key terms over withdrawals, sequencing, and external involvement. The SAF has advanced in some areas while the RSF maintains control over much of Darfur, sustaining battlefield incentives against concessions. Recent unannounced consultations by SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan with political groups on a national dialogue conference represent the latest internal initiative, following June 2026 civil society frameworks and earlier prime ministerial proposals, but procedural boycotts and lack of enforcement mechanisms continue to limit momentum. Traders assess these dynamics against the absence of any verified nationwide halt in hostilities as of mid-August 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$106,279Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.International mediation through the Quad (US, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE) and Quintet (AU, UN, EU, LAS) has produced repeated proposals for humanitarian truces and monitored ceasefires since late 2025, yet both the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces have rejected key terms over withdrawals, sequencing, and external involvement. The SAF has advanced in some areas while the RSF maintains control over much of Darfur, sustaining battlefield incentives against concessions. Recent unannounced consultations by SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan with political groups on a national dialogue conference represent the latest internal initiative, following June 2026 civil society frameworks and earlier prime ministerial proposals, but procedural boycotts and lack of enforcement mechanisms continue to limit momentum. Traders assess these dynamics against the absence of any verified nationwide halt in hostilities as of mid-August 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Wolumen
$106,279Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...International mediation through the Quad (US, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE) and Quintet (AU, UN, EU, LAS) has produced repeated proposals for humanitarian truces and monitored ceasefires since late 2025, yet both the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces have rejected key terms over withdrawals, sequencing, and external involvement. The SAF has advanced in some areas while the RSF maintains control over much of Darfur, sustaining battlefield incentives against concessions. Recent unannounced consultations by SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan with political groups on a national dialogue conference represent the latest internal initiative, following June 2026 civil society frameworks and earlier prime ministerial proposals, but procedural boycotts and lack of enforcement mechanisms continue to limit momentum. Traders assess these dynamics against the absence of any verified nationwide halt in hostilities as of mid-August 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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