US-Iran relations remain shaped by the February 28, 2026, launch of joint US-Israeli strikes under Operation Epic Fury, which eliminated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and initiated weeks of exchanges before a ceasefire took hold in early April. As of mid-May, direct talks mediated through Pakistan continue over reopening the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and asset releases, with Iran proposing terms that preserve its regional leverage while the United States maintains naval presence and blockade measures. President Trump has notified Congress that hostilities terminated by May 1 to address War Powers Resolution deadlines, keeping military options open without seeking formal authorization. No congressional declaration of war has occurred, and scheduled diplomatic milestones through June focus on de-escalation rather than expanded conflict.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy Stany Zjednoczone oficjalnie wypowiedzą wojnę Iranowi do...?
Czy Stany Zjednoczone oficjalnie wypowiedzą wojnę Iranowi do...?
$7,523,614 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 grudnia
7%
$7,523,614 Wol.
31 grudnia
$550,980 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran relations remain shaped by the February 28, 2026, launch of joint US-Israeli strikes under Operation Epic Fury, which eliminated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and initiated weeks of exchanges before a ceasefire took hold in early April. As of mid-May, direct talks mediated through Pakistan continue over reopening the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and asset releases, with Iran proposing terms that preserve its regional leverage while the United States maintains naval presence and blockade measures. President Trump has notified Congress that hostilities terminated by May 1 to address War Powers Resolution deadlines, keeping military options open without seeking formal authorization. No congressional declaration of war has occurred, and scheduled diplomatic milestones through June focus on de-escalation rather than expanded conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,523,614Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran relations remain shaped by the February 28, 2026, launch of joint US-Israeli strikes under Operation Epic Fury, which eliminated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and initiated weeks of exchanges before a ceasefire took hold in early April. As of mid-May, direct talks mediated through Pakistan continue over reopening the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and asset releases, with Iran proposing terms that preserve its regional leverage while the United States maintains naval presence and blockade measures. President Trump has notified Congress that hostilities terminated by May 1 to address War Powers Resolution deadlines, keeping military options open without seeking formal authorization. No congressional declaration of war has occurred, and scheduled diplomatic milestones through June focus on de-escalation rather than expanded conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$7,523,614Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran relations remain shaped by the February 28, 2026, launch of joint US-Israeli strikes under Operation Epic Fury, which eliminated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and initiated weeks of exchanges before a ceasefire took hold in early April. As of mid-May, direct talks mediated through Pakistan continue over reopening the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and asset releases, with Iran proposing terms that preserve its regional leverage while the United States maintains naval presence and blockade measures. President Trump has notified Congress that hostilities terminated by May 1 to address War Powers Resolution deadlines, keeping military options open without seeking formal authorization. No congressional declaration of war has occurred, and scheduled diplomatic milestones through June focus on de-escalation rather than expanded conflict.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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