USA's commanding 4-1 victory over Paraguay in their World Cup opener, combined with co-host status and a deep squad featuring experienced CONCACAF talent, underpins the 71.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping Group D. Australia’s 2-0 win against Türkiye on the same matchday maintains realistic contention at 19.8%, bolstered by recent Socceroos form and favorable remaining fixtures against lower-ranked sides. Türkiye and Paraguay sit at 7.5% and 1.6% respectively after opening defeats that leave them needing multiple results to overtake the leaders, with group positioning hinging on the upcoming USA-Australia clash and head-to-head differentials. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices factors in historical home performance, current form, and the tight schedule through June 25.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup Group D Winner
World Cup Group D Winner
USA 72%
Australia 19.9%
Türkiye 8%
Paraguay 1.6%
$850,546 Wol.
$850,546 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
USA
72%
Australia
20%
Türkiye
8%
Paraguay
2%
USA 72%
Australia 19.9%
Türkiye 8%
Paraguay 1.6%
$850,546 Wol.
$850,546 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
USA
$263,132 Wol.
72%
Australia
$84,919 Wol.
20%
Türkiye
$316,830 Wol.
8%
Paraguay
$185,728 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.USA's commanding 4-1 victory over Paraguay in their World Cup opener, combined with co-host status and a deep squad featuring experienced CONCACAF talent, underpins the 71.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping Group D. Australia’s 2-0 win against Türkiye on the same matchday maintains realistic contention at 19.8%, bolstered by recent Socceroos form and favorable remaining fixtures against lower-ranked sides. Türkiye and Paraguay sit at 7.5% and 1.6% respectively after opening defeats that leave them needing multiple results to overtake the leaders, with group positioning hinging on the upcoming USA-Australia clash and head-to-head differentials. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices factors in historical home performance, current form, and the tight schedule through June 25.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$850,546Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.USA's commanding 4-1 victory over Paraguay in their World Cup opener, combined with co-host status and a deep squad featuring experienced CONCACAF talent, underpins the 71.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping Group D. Australia’s 2-0 win against Türkiye on the same matchday maintains realistic contention at 19.8%, bolstered by recent Socceroos form and favorable remaining fixtures against lower-ranked sides. Türkiye and Paraguay sit at 7.5% and 1.6% respectively after opening defeats that leave them needing multiple results to overtake the leaders, with group positioning hinging on the upcoming USA-Australia clash and head-to-head differentials. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices factors in historical home performance, current form, and the tight schedule through June 25.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$850,546Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...USA's commanding 4-1 victory over Paraguay in their World Cup opener, combined with co-host status and a deep squad featuring experienced CONCACAF talent, underpins the 71.5% implied probability traders assign to them topping Group D. Australia’s 2-0 win against Türkiye on the same matchday maintains realistic contention at 19.8%, bolstered by recent Socceroos form and favorable remaining fixtures against lower-ranked sides. Türkiye and Paraguay sit at 7.5% and 1.6% respectively after opening defeats that leave them needing multiple results to overtake the leaders, with group positioning hinging on the upcoming USA-Australia clash and head-to-head differentials. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices factors in historical home performance, current form, and the tight schedule through June 25.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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