Spain's status as the No. 2-ranked side and reigning European champions drives their 79.5% implied probability to top Group H, backed by an undefeated recent run and a dominant qualifying campaign that produced 21 goals while conceding just two. The squad's possession-based style and depth position them well against a schedule that opens with Cape Verde on June 15. Uruguay, at 19.5%, represents the primary challenger thanks to their CONMEBOL pedigree, physical intensity under Marcelo Bielsa, and historical World Cup success, though they trail Spain in current form and ranking. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde, both under 2%, face steep barriers as underdogs in a group where only the top two advance; their limited recent international results and lower FIFA standings reflect the market's assessment of their realistic paths to first place. The first matches on June 15 will provide the initial test of these pre-tournament expectations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup Group H Winner
World Cup Group H Winner
Spain 80%
Uruguay 20%
Saudi Arabia 1.8%
Cape Verde 1.3%
$319,106 Wol.
$319,106 Wol.
Spain
80%
Uruguay
20%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Cape Verde
1%
Spain 80%
Uruguay 20%
Saudi Arabia 1.8%
Cape Verde 1.3%
$319,106 Wol.
$319,106 Wol.
Spain
80%
Uruguay
20%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Cape Verde
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's status as the No. 2-ranked side and reigning European champions drives their 79.5% implied probability to top Group H, backed by an undefeated recent run and a dominant qualifying campaign that produced 21 goals while conceding just two. The squad's possession-based style and depth position them well against a schedule that opens with Cape Verde on June 15. Uruguay, at 19.5%, represents the primary challenger thanks to their CONMEBOL pedigree, physical intensity under Marcelo Bielsa, and historical World Cup success, though they trail Spain in current form and ranking. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde, both under 2%, face steep barriers as underdogs in a group where only the top two advance; their limited recent international results and lower FIFA standings reflect the market's assessment of their realistic paths to first place. The first matches on June 15 will provide the initial test of these pre-tournament expectations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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