The tightly bunched probabilities around 43–50% for the top contenders reflect a deep field where multiple LCK and LPL teams retain realistic paths through the ongoing Swiss stage. Gen.G and Dplus KIA sit at 3-0 after decisive wins over Hanwha Life Esports, LYON, and Movistar KOI, underscoring consistent macro execution and strong mid-lane/jungle synergy. T1 and Bilibili Gaming sit at 2-1 following victories over CTBC Flying Oyster and Karmine Corp, preserving momentum despite earlier setbacks, while Invictus Gaming and others hover near qualification. This parity in recent results, combined with Fearless Draft and best-of formats ahead, keeps implied probabilities compressed as traders weigh roster depth, regional form, and elimination risks.