Manchester City's commanding position stems from their exceptional knockout-stage momentum and near-perfect head-to-head record against Chelsea, including 11 wins and three draws across the last 14 meetings. The Citizens have secured dominant victories en route to Wembley, including a 4-0 quarter-final triumph over Liverpool and a late comeback in the semi-finals, while maintaining strong overall form amid a packed fixture list. Chelsea reached the final with solid wins over lower-league sides but enter as underdogs following inconsistent Premier League results and a recent managerial transition. With the match set for Saturday at Wembley, City's depth and experience in high-stakes encounters reinforce trader consensus around their elevated implied probability.