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IA previsões e probabilidades

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Maior empresa no final de junho?

Maior empresa no final de junho?

86%

NVIDIA

$12M Vol.

$247K today

$1M Liq.

80

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?

86%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$234K today

$2M Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?

Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?

72%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$54.9K today

$813K Liq.

62

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

92%

May 19

$176K Vol.

$54.2K today

$154K Liq.

4

Ends em 17 dias

Gemini 3.5 lançado por...?

Gemini 3.5 lançado por...?

25%

31 de julho

$1M Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

57

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elon Musk ganha mais de $ 10mil milhões de acordo contra a Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk ganha mais de $ 10mil milhões de acordo contra a Altman/OpenAI?

9%

Sim

$79.3K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico

98%

Sem IPO até 30 de junho de 2026

$1M Vol.

$108K Liq.

5

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elon Musk ganhará o seu caso contra Sam Altman?

Elon Musk ganhará o seu caso contra Sam Altman?

33%

Sim

$384K Vol.

$32.5K Liq.

40

Ends em 8 meses

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

69%

Anthropic

$105K Vol.

$51.8K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

86%

Anthropic

$385K Vol.

$197K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

1%

1500+

$173K Vol.

$47.6K Liq.

99

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

42%

1.8T+

$45.0K Vol.

$38.3K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Trump-Xi Summit: O que Trump anunciará até 22 de maio?

Trump-Xi Summit: O que Trump anunciará até 22 de maio?

72%

Conselho de Comércio EUA-China

$14.2K Vol.

$47.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Claude 5 libertado por...?

Claude 5 libertado por...?

81%

30 de setembro de 2026

$4M Vol.

$61.2K Liq.

204

Ends há 14 dias

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

98%

June 30

$314K Vol.

$115K Liq.

19

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

O Google x SpaceX concorda em colocar data centers no espaço até 30 de junho?

O Google x SpaceX concorda em colocar data centers no espaço até 30 de junho?

20%

Sim

$8.3K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

97%

OpenAI

$23.0K Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

94%

July 31

$38.8K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

61%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$535K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

87%

$57.0K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

14

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like IA.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for IA that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Maior empresa no final de junho?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $34.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Elon Musk ganha mais de $ 10mil milhões de acordo contra a Altman/OpenAI?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Maior empresa no final de junho?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Maior empresa no final de junho?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to NVIDIA. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on IA predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.