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GPT 5 previsões e probabilidades

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GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

94%

July 31

$39.7K Vol.

$25.2K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

96%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$24.2K Vol.

$40.2K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

57%

50%+

$22.9K Vol.

$752 Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

65%

60%+

$34.6K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

82%

December 31, 2026

$304K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

45

Ends há 4 meses

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

93%

September 30

$7.5K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

11%

June 30, 2026

$156K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

30

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

Ends em 11 minutos

Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Wildcard Gaming (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage

Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Wildcard Gaming (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage

56%

Five Fears

$6.2K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 5 horas

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

SHISHKA

$603 Vol.

Ends há 2 dias

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Misa Esports

$816 Vol.

$37.8K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 horas

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

30%

3

$15.8K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Endless Journey

$1.4K Vol.

Ends há 4 dias

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

100%

magic

$964K Vol.

$905K today

Ends há cerca de 13 horas

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

53%

Endless Journey

$9 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

50%

Fire Flux Esports

$67.1K Vol.

$369 Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

CYBERSHOKE Prospects

$705 Vol.

Ends há 3 dias

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

99%

Drake releases Iceman

$22M Vol.

$658K Liq.

847

Ends em 3 meses

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Donstu Esports

$2.3K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 24 horas

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

81%

September 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$61.0K Liq.

204

Ends há 14 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-5.6 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $27.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.