Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key driver of trader sentiment, with the flagship model still in partner testing and listed as "coming soon" on official pages after missing its original June target and subsequent July window. Persistent shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic performance prompted extra tuning and feedback cycles, while Google has prioritized rapid iteration on lighter Flash variants, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and earlier 3.7 and 3.6 updates. Pretraining has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, but that follows 3.5 Pro. With no firm public timeline and historical slippage common at Google, markets reflect high implied odds against a near-term Pro launch amid ongoing competitive pressure in frontier capabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado por...?
Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado por...?
$1,268,572 Vol.
15 set 2026
September 15
3%
September 30
11%
October 31
65%
15 de outubro
25%
$1,268,572 Vol.
September 15
$12,200 Vol.
3%
September 30
$81,197 Vol.
11%
October 31
$16,248 Vol.
65%
15 de outubro
$2,843 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key driver of trader sentiment, with the flagship model still in partner testing and listed as "coming soon" on official pages after missing its original June target and subsequent July window. Persistent shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic performance prompted extra tuning and feedback cycles, while Google has prioritized rapid iteration on lighter Flash variants, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and earlier 3.7 and 3.6 updates. Pretraining has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, but that follows 3.5 Pro. With no firm public timeline and historical slippage common at Google, markets reflect high implied odds against a near-term Pro launch amid ongoing competitive pressure in frontier capabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ET
Volume
$1,268,572Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key driver of trader sentiment, with the flagship model still in partner testing and listed as "coming soon" on official pages after missing its original June target and subsequent July window. Persistent shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic performance prompted extra tuning and feedback cycles, while Google has prioritized rapid iteration on lighter Flash variants, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and earlier 3.7 and 3.6 updates. Pretraining has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, but that follows 3.5 Pro. With no firm public timeline and historical slippage common at Google, markets reflect high implied odds against a near-term Pro launch amid ongoing competitive pressure in frontier capabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,268,572Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro remains the key driver of trader sentiment, with the flagship model still in partner testing and listed as "coming soon" on official pages after missing its original June target and subsequent July window. Persistent shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic performance prompted extra tuning and feedback cycles, while Google has prioritized rapid iteration on lighter Flash variants, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and earlier 3.7 and 3.6 updates. Pretraining has begun on the more ambitious Gemini 4, but that follows 3.5 Pro. With no firm public timeline and historical slippage common at Google, markets reflect high implied odds against a near-term Pro launch amid ongoing competitive pressure in frontier capabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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