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Finanças·Claude

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico

icon for Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico
Finanças·Claude

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico

jun 30

dez 31, 2027

dez 31, 2027

dez 31, 2027

jun 30

dez 31, 2027

dez 31, 2027

dez 31, 2027

$1.25–$1.5T 23%

<$1.25T 18%

$1.5–$1.75T 15.4%

$1.75–$2.0T 15%

Polymarket

$43,380 Vol.

$1.25–$1.5T 23%

<$1.25T 18%

$1.5–$1.75T 15.4%

$1.75–$2.0T 15%

Polymarket

$43,380 Vol.

<$1.25T

$9,650 Vol.

18%

$1.25–$1.5T

$2,871 Vol.

23%

$1.5–$1.75T

$3,376 Vol.

15%

$1.75–$2.0T

$3,614 Vol.

15%

$2.0–$2.25T

$6,968 Vol.

5%

$2.25–$2.5T

$1,620 Vol.

11%

$2.5–$2.75T

$4,644 Vol.

6%

$2.75–$3.0T

$1,828 Vol.

6%

$3.0T+

$5,946 Vol.

5%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

$2,863 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's confidential IPO filing on June 1, shortly after its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader expectations near the lower end of the distribution. Rapid revenue scaling to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate and projected operating profit in Q2 2026 support modest uplift at debut, consistent with the leading $1.25–1.5 trillion bin at 22.5 percent implied probability. Fragmented pricing across higher brackets reflects uncertainty over IPO timing—potentially late 2026—secondary-market trading levels near $1.05 trillion, competitive pressure from OpenAI's parallel filing, and broader equity-market conditions for AI names. Market-implied odds therefore embed both the private-round benchmark and execution risks ahead of any public listing.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$43,380
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's confidential IPO filing on June 1, shortly after its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, anchors trader expectations near the lower end of the distribution. Rapid revenue scaling to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate and projected operating profit in Q2 2026 support modest uplift at debut, consistent with the leading $1.25–1.5 trillion bin at 22.5 percent implied probability. Fragmented pricing across higher brackets reflects uncertainty over IPO timing—potentially late 2026—secondary-market trading levels near $1.05 trillion, competitive pressure from OpenAI's parallel filing, and broader equity-market conditions for AI names. Market-implied odds therefore embed both the private-round benchmark and execution risks ahead of any public listing.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$43,380
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$1.25–$1.5T" at 23%, followed by "<$1.25T" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico" has generated $43.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico" is "$1.25–$1.5T" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<$1.25T" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.