Anthropic’s May 2026 Series H round, which raised $65 billion at a $965 billion post-money valuation with run-rate revenue reaching $47 billion, combined with its June 1 confidential IPO filing targeting an October Nasdaq listing, underpins the market’s 62% combined probability on the 1.5T+ brackets. Traders see continued Claude model momentum, hyperscaler partnerships, and secondary-market pricing at $1.05–1.15 trillion as supporting a meaningful IPO premium similar to recent mega-cap tech debuts. Forecasts point to median first-day or 90-day market caps near $1.1–1.14 trillion, while the low 5% odds of no IPO by end-2027 reflect the company’s advanced preparations and investor demand. Upcoming banker meetings and any further ARR updates remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado1.8T+ 40%
1.5–1.8T 37.1%
1.2–1.5T 19.2%
0.9–1.2T 8.6%
$277,853 Vol.
$277,853 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<0.6T
3%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
14%
1.2–1.5T
19%
1.5–1.8T
37%
1.8T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
1.8T+ 40%
1.5–1.8T 37.1%
1.2–1.5T 19.2%
0.9–1.2T 8.6%
$277,853 Vol.
$277,853 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<0.6T
$16,959 Vol.
3%
0.6–0.9T
$22,251 Vol.
3%
0.9–1.2T
$20,766 Vol.
14%
1.2–1.5T
$21,991 Vol.
19%
1.5–1.8T
$23,875 Vol.
37%
1.8T+
$131,007 Vol.
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$41,005 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s May 2026 Series H round, which raised $65 billion at a $965 billion post-money valuation with run-rate revenue reaching $47 billion, combined with its June 1 confidential IPO filing targeting an October Nasdaq listing, underpins the market’s 62% combined probability on the 1.5T+ brackets. Traders see continued Claude model momentum, hyperscaler partnerships, and secondary-market pricing at $1.05–1.15 trillion as supporting a meaningful IPO premium similar to recent mega-cap tech debuts. Forecasts point to median first-day or 90-day market caps near $1.1–1.14 trillion, while the low 5% odds of no IPO by end-2027 reflect the company’s advanced preparations and investor demand. Upcoming banker meetings and any further ARR updates remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$277,853Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s May 2026 Series H round, which raised $65 billion at a $965 billion post-money valuation with run-rate revenue reaching $47 billion, combined with its June 1 confidential IPO filing targeting an October Nasdaq listing, underpins the market’s 62% combined probability on the 1.5T+ brackets. Traders see continued Claude model momentum, hyperscaler partnerships, and secondary-market pricing at $1.05–1.15 trillion as supporting a meaningful IPO premium similar to recent mega-cap tech debuts. Forecasts point to median first-day or 90-day market caps near $1.1–1.14 trillion, while the low 5% odds of no IPO by end-2027 reflect the company’s advanced preparations and investor demand. Upcoming banker meetings and any further ARR updates remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$277,853Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s May 2026 Series H round, which raised $65 billion at a $965 billion post-money valuation with run-rate revenue reaching $47 billion, combined with its June 1 confidential IPO filing targeting an October Nasdaq listing, underpins the market’s 62% combined probability on the 1.5T+ brackets. Traders see continued Claude model momentum, hyperscaler partnerships, and secondary-market pricing at $1.05–1.15 trillion as supporting a meaningful IPO premium similar to recent mega-cap tech debuts. Forecasts point to median first-day or 90-day market caps near $1.1–1.14 trillion, while the low 5% odds of no IPO by end-2027 reflect the company’s advanced preparations and investor demand. Upcoming banker meetings and any further ARR updates remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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