Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, driven by reports just yesterday of the company targeting a $900–950 billion valuation in a potential $30–50 billion funding round—more than doubling its February 2026 $380 billion post-money mark from a $30 billion Series G raise. Explosive revenue growth, reportedly surging 10,000% to $30 billion annualized amid Claude AI's enterprise adoption and competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google, has fueled this optimism, with private market valuations implying pre-IPO surges past $1.4 trillion. Lower brackets like 1.2–1.5T (15.5%) reflect caution on IPO timing, as no S-1 filing has emerged despite October 2026 IPO explorations; a "No IPO by December 31, 2027" outcome at 13% accounts for regulatory hurdles in AI safety and deployment. Watch for funding closure or listing announcements to shift odds further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 16%
0.9–1.2T 13%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13%
$45,241 Vol.
$45,241 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<0.6T
3%
0.6–0.9T
6%
0.9–1.2T
13%
1.2–1.5T
16%
1.5–1.8T
12%
1.8T+
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
13%
1.8T+ 40%
1.2–1.5T 16%
0.9–1.2T 13%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13%
$45,241 Vol.
$45,241 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<0.6T
$3,442 Vol.
3%
0.6–0.9T
$7,164 Vol.
6%
0.9–1.2T
$5,564 Vol.
13%
1.2–1.5T
$5,185 Vol.
16%
1.5–1.8T
$5,070 Vol.
12%
1.8T+
$11,448 Vol.
40%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$7,367 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, driven by reports just yesterday of the company targeting a $900–950 billion valuation in a potential $30–50 billion funding round—more than doubling its February 2026 $380 billion post-money mark from a $30 billion Series G raise. Explosive revenue growth, reportedly surging 10,000% to $30 billion annualized amid Claude AI's enterprise adoption and competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google, has fueled this optimism, with private market valuations implying pre-IPO surges past $1.4 trillion. Lower brackets like 1.2–1.5T (15.5%) reflect caution on IPO timing, as no S-1 filing has emerged despite October 2026 IPO explorations; a "No IPO by December 31, 2027" outcome at 13% accounts for regulatory hurdles in AI safety and deployment. Watch for funding closure or listing announcements to shift odds further.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$45,241Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, driven by reports just yesterday of the company targeting a $900–950 billion valuation in a potential $30–50 billion funding round—more than doubling its February 2026 $380 billion post-money mark from a $30 billion Series G raise. Explosive revenue growth, reportedly surging 10,000% to $30 billion annualized amid Claude AI's enterprise adoption and competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google, has fueled this optimism, with private market valuations implying pre-IPO surges past $1.4 trillion. Lower brackets like 1.2–1.5T (15.5%) reflect caution on IPO timing, as no S-1 filing has emerged despite October 2026 IPO explorations; a "No IPO by December 31, 2027" outcome at 13% accounts for regulatory hurdles in AI safety and deployment. Watch for funding closure or listing announcements to shift odds further.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$45,241Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 39.5% implied probability, driven by reports just yesterday of the company targeting a $900–950 billion valuation in a potential $30–50 billion funding round—more than doubling its February 2026 $380 billion post-money mark from a $30 billion Series G raise. Explosive revenue growth, reportedly surging 10,000% to $30 billion annualized amid Claude AI's enterprise adoption and competitive positioning against OpenAI and Google, has fueled this optimism, with private market valuations implying pre-IPO surges past $1.4 trillion. Lower brackets like 1.2–1.5T (15.5%) reflect caution on IPO timing, as no S-1 filing has emerged despite October 2026 IPO explorations; a "No IPO by December 31, 2027" outcome at 13% accounts for regulatory hurdles in AI safety and deployment. Watch for funding closure or listing announcements to shift odds further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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