Apple’s current ~$4.9 trillion market cap and 23% year-to-date gains reflect strong fiscal Q3 results, double-digit iPhone and services revenue growth, and early traction from the new iPhone 18 lineup plus the premium foldable iPhone Duo launched under CEO John Ternus. Traders see these hardware refreshes and Apple Intelligence features as key catalysts that could support continued expansion through December, yet balanced odds between the $4.5–5.0T and $5.0–5.5T bins highlight uncertainty over memory supply constraints compressing margins, elevated valuations near 38x earnings, and the pace of AI-driven upgrade cycles in a competitive large language model landscape. Upcoming holiday demand signals and any further Siri enhancements remain the main near-term swing factors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS$ 4,50–5,00T 28%
US$5,00-US$5,50T 28%
US$ 4,00–4,50T 20%
US$ 5,50–6,00T 16%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
<US$3,50T
6%
US$3,50-US$4,00T
7%
US$ 4,00–4,50T
20%
US$ 4,50–5,00T
28%
US$5,00-US$5,50T
28%
US$ 5,50–6,00T
16%
US$ 6,00T+
8%
US$ 4,50–5,00T 28%
US$5,00-US$5,50T 28%
US$ 4,00–4,50T 20%
US$ 5,50–6,00T 16%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
<US$3,50T
$522 Vol.
6%
US$3,50-US$4,00T
$228 Vol.
7%
US$ 4,00–4,50T
$644 Vol.
20%
US$ 4,50–5,00T
$497 Vol.
28%
US$5,00-US$5,50T
$618 Vol.
28%
US$ 5,50–6,00T
$192 Vol.
16%
US$ 6,00T+
$109 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Apple’s current ~$4.9 trillion market cap and 23% year-to-date gains reflect strong fiscal Q3 results, double-digit iPhone and services revenue growth, and early traction from the new iPhone 18 lineup plus the premium foldable iPhone Duo launched under CEO John Ternus. Traders see these hardware refreshes and Apple Intelligence features as key catalysts that could support continued expansion through December, yet balanced odds between the $4.5–5.0T and $5.0–5.5T bins highlight uncertainty over memory supply constraints compressing margins, elevated valuations near 38x earnings, and the pace of AI-driven upgrade cycles in a competitive large language model landscape. Upcoming holiday demand signals and any further Siri enhancements remain the main near-term swing factors.
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
Volume
$2,809Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Apple’s current ~$4.9 trillion market cap and 23% year-to-date gains reflect strong fiscal Q3 results, double-digit iPhone and services revenue growth, and early traction from the new iPhone 18 lineup plus the premium foldable iPhone Duo launched under CEO John Ternus. Traders see these hardware refreshes and Apple Intelligence features as key catalysts that could support continued expansion through December, yet balanced odds between the $4.5–5.0T and $5.0–5.5T bins highlight uncertainty over memory supply constraints compressing margins, elevated valuations near 38x earnings, and the pace of AI-driven upgrade cycles in a competitive large language model landscape. Upcoming holiday demand signals and any further Siri enhancements remain the main near-term swing factors.
This market will resolve according to Apple's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$2,809Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Apple’s current ~$4.9 trillion market cap and 23% year-to-date gains reflect strong fiscal Q3 results, double-digit iPhone and services revenue growth, and early traction from the new iPhone 18 lineup plus the premium foldable iPhone Duo launched under CEO John Ternus. Traders see these hardware refreshes and Apple Intelligence features as key catalysts that could support continued expansion through December, yet balanced odds between the $4.5–5.0T and $5.0–5.5T bins highlight uncertainty over memory supply constraints compressing margins, elevated valuations near 38x earnings, and the pace of AI-driven upgrade cycles in a competitive large language model landscape. Upcoming holiday demand signals and any further Siri enhancements remain the main near-term swing factors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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