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icon for OpenAI IPO por...?
Tecnologia·IPOs

OpenAI IPO por...?

icon for OpenAI IPO por...?
Tecnologia·IPOs

OpenAI IPO por...?

$1,202,522 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$1,202,522 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 30 de junho de 2026

30 de junho de 2026

$254,158 Vol.

2%

icon for 31 de dezembro de 2026

31 de dezembro de 2026

$452,836 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI trader sentiment reflects growing uncertainty over a potential 2026 initial public offering, driven by recent reports of internal tensions between CEO Sam Altman, who is pushing for a Q4 listing amid $25 billion annualized revenue and trillion-dollar valuation ambitions, and CFO Sarah Friar, who in early May urged delay to 2027 due to $600 billion in compute commitments, slowing growth, and missed targets. The company's April announcement ending Microsoft exclusivity clears a key regulatory hurdle, enabling multi-cloud scaling for AI model training, while ongoing Elon Musk litigation scrutinizes OpenAI's capped-profit structure. Traders eye an S-1 filing as the critical threshold, with historical AI startup IPO timelines often slipping amid competitive pressures from Anthropic and xAI.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,202,522
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI trader sentiment reflects growing uncertainty over a potential 2026 initial public offering, driven by recent reports of internal tensions between CEO Sam Altman, who is pushing for a Q4 listing amid $25 billion annualized revenue and trillion-dollar valuation ambitions, and CFO Sarah Friar, who in early May urged delay to 2027 due to $600 billion in compute commitments, slowing growth, and missed targets. The company's April announcement ending Microsoft exclusivity clears a key regulatory hurdle, enabling multi-cloud scaling for AI model training, while ongoing Elon Musk litigation scrutinizes OpenAI's capped-profit structure. Traders eye an S-1 filing as the critical threshold, with historical AI startup IPO timelines often slipping amid competitive pressures from Anthropic and xAI.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,202,522
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI IPO por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 27%, followed by "30 de junho de 2026" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI IPO por...?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI IPO por...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OpenAI IPO por...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI IPO por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.