Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $600 billion at 88% implied probability, propelled by the AI developer's explosive valuation trajectory—recent reports confirm early talks for a $30 billion-plus funding round at over $900 billion pre-money, more than doubling the $380 billion post-money from its February Series G raise led by GIC and Coatue. Surging enterprise adoption of Claude large language models, strategic investments from Google and Amazon totaling potential $50 billion, and competitive positioning against OpenAI have driven this momentum, with executives eyeing a public listing as soon as October 2026. The 11% odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect minor delay risks amid volatile tech markets, while lower brackets languish below 2% given private valuations already clearing those thresholds; watch for funding closure by late May or S-1 filing as key catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoValor de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico (suportes inferiores)
Valor de mercado de fechamento de IPO antrópico (suportes inferiores)
600B+ 88%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 11%
400–600B 1.6%
300–400B <1%
$298,099 Vol.
$298,099 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
2%
600B+
88%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
11%
600B+ 88%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 11%
400–600B 1.6%
300–400B <1%
$298,099 Vol.
$298,099 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<100B
$138,181 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$53,867 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$8,864 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$60,093 Vol.
<1%
400–600B
$9,125 Vol.
2%
600B+
$15,312 Vol.
88%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
$12,657 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $600 billion at 88% implied probability, propelled by the AI developer's explosive valuation trajectory—recent reports confirm early talks for a $30 billion-plus funding round at over $900 billion pre-money, more than doubling the $380 billion post-money from its February Series G raise led by GIC and Coatue. Surging enterprise adoption of Claude large language models, strategic investments from Google and Amazon totaling potential $50 billion, and competitive positioning against OpenAI have driven this momentum, with executives eyeing a public listing as soon as October 2026. The 11% odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect minor delay risks amid volatile tech markets, while lower brackets languish below 2% given private valuations already clearing those thresholds; watch for funding closure by late May or S-1 filing as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$298,099Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $600 billion at 88% implied probability, propelled by the AI developer's explosive valuation trajectory—recent reports confirm early talks for a $30 billion-plus funding round at over $900 billion pre-money, more than doubling the $380 billion post-money from its February Series G raise led by GIC and Coatue. Surging enterprise adoption of Claude large language models, strategic investments from Google and Amazon totaling potential $50 billion, and competitive positioning against OpenAI have driven this momentum, with executives eyeing a public listing as soon as October 2026. The 11% odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect minor delay risks amid volatile tech markets, while lower brackets languish below 2% given private valuations already clearing those thresholds; watch for funding closure by late May or S-1 filing as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$298,099Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing market cap exceeding $600 billion at 88% implied probability, propelled by the AI developer's explosive valuation trajectory—recent reports confirm early talks for a $30 billion-plus funding round at over $900 billion pre-money, more than doubling the $380 billion post-money from its February Series G raise led by GIC and Coatue. Surging enterprise adoption of Claude large language models, strategic investments from Google and Amazon totaling potential $50 billion, and competitive positioning against OpenAI have driven this momentum, with executives eyeing a public listing as soon as October 2026. The 11% odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect minor delay risks amid volatile tech markets, while lower brackets languish below 2% given private valuations already clearing those thresholds; watch for funding closure by late May or S-1 filing as key catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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