Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round that established a $965 billion post-money valuation, has anchored trader expectations for an IPO market cap well above $600 billion. Rapid revenue expansion—run-rate revenue reached $47 billion by May with projections exceeding $100 billion annualized by year-end—reflects strong demand for its Claude large language models amid the broader AI boom. Early investor meetings and secondary trading implying $1 trillion-plus levels reinforce this consensus, with an October Nasdaq debut frequently cited as the base case. While sustained AI adoption and favorable market conditions support the positioning, realistic downside scenarios include broader equity volatility, regulatory scrutiny on frontier AI development, or unexpected delays in the offering process that could compress multiples.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado600B+ 95.8%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 3.0%
400–600B 1.0%
300–400B <1%
$420,582 Vol.
$420,582 Vol.
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
96%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
3%
600B+ 95.8%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 3.0%
400–600B 1.0%
300–400B <1%
$420,582 Vol.
$420,582 Vol.
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
1%
600B+
96%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round that established a $965 billion post-money valuation, has anchored trader expectations for an IPO market cap well above $600 billion. Rapid revenue expansion—run-rate revenue reached $47 billion by May with projections exceeding $100 billion annualized by year-end—reflects strong demand for its Claude large language models amid the broader AI boom. Early investor meetings and secondary trading implying $1 trillion-plus levels reinforce this consensus, with an October Nasdaq debut frequently cited as the base case. While sustained AI adoption and favorable market conditions support the positioning, realistic downside scenarios include broader equity volatility, regulatory scrutiny on frontier AI development, or unexpected delays in the offering process that could compress multiples.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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