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Claude 5 previsões e probabilidades

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Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

85%

July 31

$181K Vol.

$51.2K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

92%

600B+

$390K Vol.

$201K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

45%

June 30

$71.8K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

11

Ends em 1 dia

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

85%

Anthropic

$203K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

3

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

3%

50%+

$389K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

31

Ends em cerca de 20 horas

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

2%

$24.2K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

97%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$189K today

$304K Liq.

313

Ends em 3 dias

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

17%

<$1.25T

$99.9K Vol.

$112K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

46%

1.8T+

$182K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

15%

June 30

$162K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

16

Ends em 2 dias

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

65%

September 30

$16.6K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Best AI model on July 4?

Best AI model on July 4?

93%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.6K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

87%

6-8

$38.1K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 20 horas

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 13 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Claude Sonnet released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic acquired before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.