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Claude 5 previsões e probabilidades

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Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

73%

September 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$61.1K Liq.

204

Ends há 15 dias

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

42%

12+

$33.5K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

18%

45%+

$283K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

12

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

55%

50%+

$61.9K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

12

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

96%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$24.8K Vol.

$40.9K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

11%

June 30

$366K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

19

Ends há 15 dias

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

25%

$11.7K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

23

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 17 horas

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

94%

July 31

$41.7K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Bordeaux (Doubles): Halys/Herbert vs Cukierman/Hilderbrand

Bordeaux (Doubles): Halys/Herbert vs Cukierman/Hilderbrand

62%

Halys/Herbert

$0 Vol.

$130 Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

94%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

123

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs VP.Future 2 (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs VP.Future 2 (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

80%

Clutchain

$578 Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 5 horas

LA-05 House Election Winner

LA-05 House Election Winner

88%

Republican Party

$4.5K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Ted Cruz # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

97%

120-139

$44.5K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends há 2 dias

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

100%

LYON

$154K Vol.

Ends há 30 dias

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

CYBERSHOKE Prospects

$705 Vol.

Ends há 4 dias

Counter-Strike: Clair Obscur vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Clair Obscur vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Clair Obscur

$4.9K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 17 horas

Bordeaux (Doubles): Arneodo/Polmans vs Blancaneaux/Tabur

Bordeaux (Doubles): Arneodo/Polmans vs Blancaneaux/Tabur

52%

Arneodo/Polmans

$0 Vol.

$6 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Concrete FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Concrete FDV above ___ one day after launch?

92%

$50M

$503 Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Rocket League: NRG Esports vs Five Fears (BO5) - RLCS World Championship Group B

Rocket League: NRG Esports vs Five Fears (BO5) - RLCS World Championship Group B

93%

NRG Esports

$0 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Claude 5 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Claude 5 released by…?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Claude 5 released by…?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 73% chance to September 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.