Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release, with Claude Opus 5 shipping July 24, 2026—just weeks after Sonnet 5 and Fable 5—delivering near-frontier agentic performance at half the price of Fable models through adaptive thinking and reduced safety classifier interventions. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, alongside Anthropic’s pattern of iterative Opus upgrades (4.7 to 4.8 in May, then 5 in July), has traders watching for a 5.2 refresh. Recent leaks and routing signals point to a possible mid-to-late September launch, while the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 underscores ongoing model family momentum that could accelerate or delay the next Opus depending on internal prioritization and benchmark validation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo Claude Opus lançado por...?
Próximo Claude Opus lançado por...?
$124,521 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
79%
17 de setembro
15%
20 de setembro
27%
24 de setembro
68%
27 de setembro
63%
31 de outubro
98%
31 de dezembro
98%
$124,521 Vol.
30 de setembro
$60,581 Vol.
79%
17 de setembro
$2,256 Vol.
15%
20 de setembro
$909 Vol.
27%
24 de setembro
$506 Vol.
68%
27 de setembro
$106 Vol.
63%
31 de outubro
$13,502 Vol.
98%
31 de dezembro
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release, with Claude Opus 5 shipping July 24, 2026—just weeks after Sonnet 5 and Fable 5—delivering near-frontier agentic performance at half the price of Fable models through adaptive thinking and reduced safety classifier interventions. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, alongside Anthropic’s pattern of iterative Opus upgrades (4.7 to 4.8 in May, then 5 in July), has traders watching for a 5.2 refresh. Recent leaks and routing signals point to a possible mid-to-late September launch, while the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 underscores ongoing model family momentum that could accelerate or delay the next Opus depending on internal prioritization and benchmark validation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$124,521Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release, with Claude Opus 5 shipping July 24, 2026—just weeks after Sonnet 5 and Fable 5—delivering near-frontier agentic performance at half the price of Fable models through adaptive thinking and reduced safety classifier interventions. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, alongside Anthropic’s pattern of iterative Opus upgrades (4.7 to 4.8 in May, then 5 in July), has traders watching for a 5.2 refresh. Recent leaks and routing signals point to a possible mid-to-late September launch, while the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 underscores ongoing model family momentum that could accelerate or delay the next Opus depending on internal prioritization and benchmark validation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$124,521Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid cadence in the Claude 5 series drives current trader sentiment on the next Opus release, with Claude Opus 5 shipping July 24, 2026—just weeks after Sonnet 5 and Fable 5—delivering near-frontier agentic performance at half the price of Fable models through adaptive thinking and reduced safety classifier interventions. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, alongside Anthropic’s pattern of iterative Opus upgrades (4.7 to 4.8 in May, then 5 in July), has traders watching for a 5.2 refresh. Recent leaks and routing signals point to a possible mid-to-late September launch, while the September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 underscores ongoing model family momentum that could accelerate or delay the next Opus depending on internal prioritization and benchmark validation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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