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icon for A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?
Tecnologia·IA

A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?

icon for A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?
Tecnologia·IA

A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

15% chance
Polymarket

$10,014 Vol.

Sim

15% chance
Polymarket

$10,014 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent breakthroughs, including multiple large language models like Claude Opus 5, OpenAI's GPT variants, and RedNote's dots-note-3.0 achieving perfect 42/42 scores or gold thresholds on IMO 2026 problems under independent grading, have accelerated capability demonstrations. However, traders price "No" at 77% due to strict market criteria around fully autonomous, contest-timed solutions without specialized scaffolding, plus historical variability in problem difficulty and the gap between benchmark results and consistent frontier performance. Key catalysts include 2025's gold-level AI scores narrowing the timeline yet highlighting remaining limits in rigorous proof generation at scale. Upcoming model releases and verification standards could shift sentiment if they meet exact resolution thresholds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Volume
$10,014
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent breakthroughs, including multiple large language models like Claude Opus 5, OpenAI's GPT variants, and RedNote's dots-note-3.0 achieving perfect 42/42 scores or gold thresholds on IMO 2026 problems under independent grading, have accelerated capability demonstrations. However, traders price "No" at 77% due to strict market criteria around fully autonomous, contest-timed solutions without specialized scaffolding, plus historical variability in problem difficulty and the gap between benchmark results and consistent frontier performance. Key catalysts include 2025's gold-level AI scores narrowing the timeline yet highlighting remaining limits in rigorous proof generation at scale. Upcoming model releases and verification standards could shift sentiment if they meet exact resolution thresholds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Volume
$10,014
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "IA ganha medalha de ouro na IMO em 2026?" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?" has generated $10K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?" is "IA ganha medalha de ouro na IMO em 2026?" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A IA ganha a medalha de ouro da IMO em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.