Recent releases have accelerated progress on MathArena, with Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 (max) reaching 84.4% in July 2026 on uncontaminated problems from recent olympiads and competitions, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants. Traders focus on whether continued scaling, specialized reasoning training, or agentic techniques from labs including OpenAI, xAI, Moonshot, and DeepSeek can push any model past the unresolved threshold by year-end. Upcoming model updates and benchmark additions through fall 2026 remain key swing factors amid rapid iteration cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWill any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
$112,479 Vol.
31 dez 2026
1575
85%
1600
36%
$112,479 Vol.
1575
$33,047 Vol.
85%
1600
$10,827 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases have accelerated progress on MathArena, with Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 (max) reaching 84.4% in July 2026 on uncontaminated problems from recent olympiads and competitions, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants. Traders focus on whether continued scaling, specialized reasoning training, or agentic techniques from labs including OpenAI, xAI, Moonshot, and DeepSeek can push any model past the unresolved threshold by year-end. Upcoming model updates and benchmark additions through fall 2026 remain key swing factors amid rapid iteration cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$112,479Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases have accelerated progress on MathArena, with Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 (max) reaching 84.4% in July 2026 on uncontaminated problems from recent olympiads and competitions, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants. Traders focus on whether continued scaling, specialized reasoning training, or agentic techniques from labs including OpenAI, xAI, Moonshot, and DeepSeek can push any model past the unresolved threshold by year-end. Upcoming model updates and benchmark additions through fall 2026 remain key swing factors amid rapid iteration cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$112,479Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent releases have accelerated progress on MathArena, with Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 (max) reaching 84.4% in July 2026 on uncontaminated problems from recent olympiads and competitions, ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants. Traders focus on whether continued scaling, specialized reasoning training, or agentic techniques from labs including OpenAI, xAI, Moonshot, and DeepSeek can push any model past the unresolved threshold by year-end. Upcoming model updates and benchmark additions through fall 2026 remain key swing factors amid rapid iteration cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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