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Tech·Business

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

icon for Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
Tech·Business

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?

jun 30

dez 31

jun 30

dez 31

NOVO
31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$931 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Aristotle

Aristotle

$140 Vol.

44%

icon for ForecastEx

ForecastEx

$285 Vol.

39%

icon for CBOE

CBOE

$20 Vol.

34%

icon for ICE

ICE

$465 Vol.

30%

icon for Small Exchange

Small Exchange

$20 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent CFTC guidance from March 2026 and a June proposed rulemaking have clarified the path for sports event contracts on designated contract markets, generally permitting those settled on objective league data like final scores or tournament advancement while encouraging pre-self-certification engagement with sports leagues. Kalshi has led with multiple self-certifications of sports contracts since early 2025, including team title and championship markets, without regulatory stays. New DCM approvals for sports-focused platforms such as Novig and ProphetX in June 2026 signal expanding competitive pressure to list quickly via the 40.2 self-certification process. Traders are watching whether additional DCMs file before year-end amid the clearer framework, though CFTC retains authority to review or stay listings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$931
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent CFTC guidance from March 2026 and a June proposed rulemaking have clarified the path for sports event contracts on designated contract markets, generally permitting those settled on objective league data like final scores or tournament advancement while encouraging pre-self-certification engagement with sports leagues. Kalshi has led with multiple self-certifications of sports contracts since early 2025, including team title and championship markets, without regulatory stays. New DCM approvals for sports-focused platforms such as Novig and ProphetX in June 2026 signal expanding competitive pressure to list quickly via the 40.2 self-certification process. Traders are watching whether additional DCMs file before year-end amid the clearer framework, though CFTC retains authority to review or stay listings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$931
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 7:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aristotle" at 44%, followed by "ForecastEx" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" is "Aristotle" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ForecastEx" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.