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Economia·Negócios

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

icon for Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?
Economia·Negócios

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

mai 31

jun 30

dez 31

mai 31

jun 30

dez 31

NVIDIA 66%

Alphabet 22%

Apple 7.1%

SpaceX 2.1%

Polymarket

$2,735,443 Vol.

NVIDIA 66%

Alphabet 22%

Apple 7.1%

SpaceX 2.1%

Polymarket

$2,735,443 Vol.

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$519,960 Vol.

66%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$270,473 Vol.

22%

icon for Apple

Apple

$297,375 Vol.

7%

icon for SpaceX

SpaceX

$167,774 Vol.

2%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$499,295 Vol.

1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$349,512 Vol.

1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$315,831 Vol.

1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$315,222 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns NVIDIA a 65.5% implied probability of holding the top spot by market capitalization at year-end 2026, driven by its dominant position in AI accelerators amid accelerating data-center demand and recent commitments exceeding $40 billion to AI-related investments. Alphabet at 21.5% benefits from expanding cloud revenue and integrated AI capabilities that have narrowed its valuation gap with the leader, while Apple’s 7.1% reflects steady services growth and ecosystem stability. Lower odds for Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla, Saudi Aramco, and SpaceX stem from intensifying competition and sector-specific headwinds. Second-quarter earnings releases and upcoming monetary-policy signals remain key near-term catalysts likely to shape equity re-rankings through December.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,735,443
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns NVIDIA a 65.5% implied probability of holding the top spot by market capitalization at year-end 2026, driven by its dominant position in AI accelerators amid accelerating data-center demand and recent commitments exceeding $40 billion to AI-related investments. Alphabet at 21.5% benefits from expanding cloud revenue and integrated AI capabilities that have narrowed its valuation gap with the leader, while Apple’s 7.1% reflects steady services growth and ecosystem stability. Lower odds for Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla, Saudi Aramco, and SpaceX stem from intensifying competition and sector-specific headwinds. Second-quarter earnings releases and upcoming monetary-policy signals remain key near-term catalysts likely to shape equity re-rankings through December.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,735,443
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 66%, followed by "Alphabet" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" has generated $2.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" is "NVIDIA" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.