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Altman previsões e probabilidades

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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

34%

$390K Vol.

$35.4K Liq.

47

Ends em 8 meses

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$42.9K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

6

Ends há 4 meses

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

27%

$4.9K Vol.

$522 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

21%

$9.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

20%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$692K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

20

Ends em 8 meses

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

75%

Adam Hamawy

$32.8K Vol.

$49.5K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

9%

$79.5K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Bordeaux (Doubles): Arneodo/Polmans vs Blancaneaux/Tabur

Bordeaux (Doubles): Arneodo/Polmans vs Blancaneaux/Tabur

52%

Arneodo/Polmans

$0 Vol.

$5 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

74%

Polymarket

$74.0K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

14

Ends em cerca de 3 horas

Will Altimeter Capital add ___ to its upcoming 13F?

Will Altimeter Capital add ___ to its upcoming 13F?

51%

Cloudflare

$0 Vol.

$177 Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

eternal premium

$725 Vol.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

eternal premium

$17.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 21 dias

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX Academy vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX Academy vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

Wingman

$2.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 30 dias

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

5%

$2.6K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

Wingman

$1.2K Vol.

Ends há 24 dias

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

aimclub

$2.4K Vol.

Ends há 28 dias

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

65%

$557K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs Nebula In Chaox (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs Nebula In Chaox (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

Nebula In Chaox

$23.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 23 dias

Valencia (Doubles): Luz/Matos vs Kiger/Stalder

Valencia (Doubles): Luz/Matos vs Kiger/Stalder

50%

Kiger/Stalder

$0 Vol.

$86 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs Wave Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs Wave Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

Wingman

$3.5K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 26 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Altman.

Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for Altman that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which CEOs will be out before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which CEOs will be out before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Tim Cook - Apple. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Altman predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.