Trader consensus strongly backs the "No" outcome at 78.5% implied probability because no official announcements, regulatory filings, or credible reports have surfaced indicating active negotiations between Google and SpaceX for orbital data centers by the June 30 deadline. Technical hurdles such as reliable power generation, advanced cooling systems in vacuum, and high-latency satellite links remain unaddressed in either company's public roadmap, while SpaceX prioritizes Starship development and Starlink expansion and Google continues scaling terrestrial AI infrastructure. With no upcoming catalysts like joint press events or supply-chain milestones expected before the cutoff, the market reflects realistic timelines for such a complex deployment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO Google x SpaceX concorda em colocar data centers no espaço até 30 de junho?
O Google x SpaceX concorda em colocar data centers no espaço até 30 de junho?
Sim
$10,415 Vol.
$10,415 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$10,415 Vol.
$10,415 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure.
Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force.
Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus strongly backs the "No" outcome at 78.5% implied probability because no official announcements, regulatory filings, or credible reports have surfaced indicating active negotiations between Google and SpaceX for orbital data centers by the June 30 deadline. Technical hurdles such as reliable power generation, advanced cooling systems in vacuum, and high-latency satellite links remain unaddressed in either company's public roadmap, while SpaceX prioritizes Starship development and Starlink expansion and Google continues scaling terrestrial AI infrastructure. With no upcoming catalysts like joint press events or supply-chain milestones expected before the cutoff, the market reflects realistic timelines for such a complex deployment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure.
Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force.
Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure.
Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force.
Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
Volume
$10,415Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure.
Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force.
Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus strongly backs the "No" outcome at 78.5% implied probability because no official announcements, regulatory filings, or credible reports have surfaced indicating active negotiations between Google and SpaceX for orbital data centers by the June 30 deadline. Technical hurdles such as reliable power generation, advanced cooling systems in vacuum, and high-latency satellite links remain unaddressed in either company's public roadmap, while SpaceX prioritizes Starship development and Starlink expansion and Google continues scaling terrestrial AI infrastructure. With no upcoming catalysts like joint press events or supply-chain milestones expected before the cutoff, the market reflects realistic timelines for such a complex deployment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure.
Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force.
Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure.
Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force.
Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,415Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus strongly backs the "No" outcome at 78.5% implied probability because no official announcements, regulatory filings, or credible reports have surfaced indicating active negotiations between Google and SpaceX for orbital data centers by the June 30 deadline. Technical hurdles such as reliable power generation, advanced cooling systems in vacuum, and high-latency satellite links remain unaddressed in either company's public roadmap, while SpaceX prioritizes Starship development and Starlink expansion and Google continues scaling terrestrial AI infrastructure. With no upcoming catalysts like joint press events or supply-chain milestones expected before the cutoff, the market reflects realistic timelines for such a complex deployment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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