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Optimus previsões e probabilidades

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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

2%

June 30

$85.0K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

12

Ends em 8 meses

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

50%

200,000+

$406 Vol.

$694 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

How long will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure?

How long will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure?

50%

8-50h

$129 Vol.

$544 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

83%

OpenAI

$24.3K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

38%

60-79

$9.1K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

81%

80-99

$31.2K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

37%

80-99

$4.6K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robot in 8 Hours?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robot in 8 Hours?

100%

10,000+

$45.3K Vol.

$148K Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

75%

↑ $232

$313K Vol.

$60.8K today

$37.3K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in May 2026?

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in May 2026?

60%

↑ $280

$73.3K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above __ ?

Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above __ ?

51%

$660M

$0 Vol.

$18 Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

96%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$24.2K Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

123

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$557K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

56%

↑ $1.80

$1.5K Vol.

$396 Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

64%

Oh My God

$94 Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

<1%

Street

$378K Vol.

$234K today

$326K Liq.

31

Ends há 4 dias

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

71%

↑ $304

$98.7K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

100%

MODUS

$38.4K Vol.

Ends há 13 dias

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

65%

Alibaba

$82.4K Vol.

$46.6K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Optimus.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Optimus that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 81% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Optimus predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.