Anthropic's mid-April release of Claude Opus 4.7, featuring targeted gains in complex software engineering and long-running task reliability, has anchored trader consensus at 69.6 percent for the company holding the strongest model by end of June. The model's consistent instruction following and self-verification capabilities, alongside limited previews of the more advanced Mythos variant in cybersecurity, have outpaced recent updates from rivals. Google’s Gemini 3.1 series at 21 percent benefits from expanded context windows but trails on agentic benchmarks, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Instant rollout in early May has not yet closed the perceived gap. With no major releases confirmed before the resolution window, current odds reflect sustained momentum in demonstrated capabilities rather than speculation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?
Anthropic 69.5%
Google 21%
OpenAI 7%
xAI 1.4%
$5,903,678 Vol.
$5,903,678 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Anthropic
70%
21%
OpenAI
7%
xAI
1%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 69.5%
Google 21%
OpenAI 7%
xAI 1.4%
$5,903,678 Vol.
$5,903,678 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Anthropic
$834,197 Vol.
70%
$526,670 Vol.
21%
OpenAI
$336,256 Vol.
7%
xAI
$1,061,343 Vol.
1%
Meta
$131,338 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$499,340 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$158,414 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$298,054 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$477,700 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$151,593 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$155,108 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$375,764 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$359,620 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$377,553 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$160,727 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's mid-April release of Claude Opus 4.7, featuring targeted gains in complex software engineering and long-running task reliability, has anchored trader consensus at 69.6 percent for the company holding the strongest model by end of June. The model's consistent instruction following and self-verification capabilities, alongside limited previews of the more advanced Mythos variant in cybersecurity, have outpaced recent updates from rivals. Google’s Gemini 3.1 series at 21 percent benefits from expanded context windows but trails on agentic benchmarks, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Instant rollout in early May has not yet closed the perceived gap. With no major releases confirmed before the resolution window, current odds reflect sustained momentum in demonstrated capabilities rather than speculation.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$5,903,678Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's mid-April release of Claude Opus 4.7, featuring targeted gains in complex software engineering and long-running task reliability, has anchored trader consensus at 69.6 percent for the company holding the strongest model by end of June. The model's consistent instruction following and self-verification capabilities, alongside limited previews of the more advanced Mythos variant in cybersecurity, have outpaced recent updates from rivals. Google’s Gemini 3.1 series at 21 percent benefits from expanded context windows but trails on agentic benchmarks, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Instant rollout in early May has not yet closed the perceived gap. With no major releases confirmed before the resolution window, current odds reflect sustained momentum in demonstrated capabilities rather than speculation.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$5,903,678Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's mid-April release of Claude Opus 4.7, featuring targeted gains in complex software engineering and long-running task reliability, has anchored trader consensus at 69.6 percent for the company holding the strongest model by end of June. The model's consistent instruction following and self-verification capabilities, alongside limited previews of the more advanced Mythos variant in cybersecurity, have outpaced recent updates from rivals. Google’s Gemini 3.1 series at 21 percent benefits from expanded context windows but trails on agentic benchmarks, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Instant rollout in early May has not yet closed the perceived gap. With no major releases confirmed before the resolution window, current odds reflect sustained momentum in demonstrated capabilities rather than speculation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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