The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure AI’s F.03 humanoid robots has become the main catalyst pushing the 200-hour-plus outcome to a 62 percent market-implied probability. The units have already logged more than 50 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting with zero interventions, far beyond the original eight-hour target, thanks to the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller’s real-time recovery from minor actuator glitches and the Helix-02 neural network’s near-human inference speeds on unstructured parcels. April’s 24-times production ramp to one robot per hour, backed by over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous burn-in testing, has further reinforced trader expectations for strong mean-time-between-failures performance. Lingering questions around gripper wear and periodic battery swaps continue to support the 26 percent and 14.5 percent odds on the 100-200-hour and 50-100-hour brackets ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPor quanto tempo os robôs F.03 da Figure funcionarão sem falhas?
Por quanto tempo os robôs F.03 da Figure funcionarão sem falhas?
200h+ 62%
100-200h 26%
50-100h 14%
$66,548 Vol.
$66,548 Vol.
21 mai 2026
50-100h
14%
100-200h
26%
200h+
62%
200h+ 62%
100-200h 26%
50-100h 14%
$66,548 Vol.
$66,548 Vol.
21 mai 2026
50-100h
$3,403 Vol.
14%
100-200h
$2,557 Vol.
26%
200h+
$8,782 Vol.
62%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure AI’s F.03 humanoid robots has become the main catalyst pushing the 200-hour-plus outcome to a 62 percent market-implied probability. The units have already logged more than 50 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting with zero interventions, far beyond the original eight-hour target, thanks to the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller’s real-time recovery from minor actuator glitches and the Helix-02 neural network’s near-human inference speeds on unstructured parcels. April’s 24-times production ramp to one robot per hour, backed by over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous burn-in testing, has further reinforced trader expectations for strong mean-time-between-failures performance. Lingering questions around gripper wear and periodic battery swaps continue to support the 26 percent and 14.5 percent odds on the 100-200-hour and 50-100-hour brackets ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$66,548Data de Término
21 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure AI’s F.03 humanoid robots has become the main catalyst pushing the 200-hour-plus outcome to a 62 percent market-implied probability. The units have already logged more than 50 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting with zero interventions, far beyond the original eight-hour target, thanks to the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller’s real-time recovery from minor actuator glitches and the Helix-02 neural network’s near-human inference speeds on unstructured parcels. April’s 24-times production ramp to one robot per hour, backed by over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous burn-in testing, has further reinforced trader expectations for strong mean-time-between-failures performance. Lingering questions around gripper wear and periodic battery swaps continue to support the 26 percent and 14.5 percent odds on the 100-200-hour and 50-100-hour brackets ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,548Data de Término
21 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure AI’s F.03 humanoid robots has become the main catalyst pushing the 200-hour-plus outcome to a 62 percent market-implied probability. The units have already logged more than 50 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting with zero interventions, far beyond the original eight-hour target, thanks to the fault-tolerant Vulcan controller’s real-time recovery from minor actuator glitches and the Helix-02 neural network’s near-human inference speeds on unstructured parcels. April’s 24-times production ramp to one robot per hour, backed by over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous burn-in testing, has further reinforced trader expectations for strong mean-time-between-failures performance. Lingering questions around gripper wear and periodic battery swaps continue to support the 26 percent and 14.5 percent odds on the 100-200-hour and 50-100-hour brackets ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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