Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Anthropic a 91% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by end of May, reflecting its recent Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview releases that lead key benchmarks in agentic coding, SWE-bench Verified, and long-context reasoning. These large language models deliver superior instruction-following, natural prose, and autonomous task handling in developer ecosystems, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro in practical evaluations. The strong positioning stems from consistent third-party leaderboard gains and enterprise adoption trends. A last-minute capability jump or new model drop from OpenAI or Google before month-end remains the clearest scenario that could shift sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?
Anthropic 91%
Google 8%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$8,680,348 Vol.
$8,680,348 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Anthropic
91%
8%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 91%
Google 8%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$8,680,348 Vol.
$8,680,348 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Anthropic
$625,463 Vol.
91%
$573,594 Vol.
8%
OpenAI
$725,128 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$533,095 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$539,977 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$503,728 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$512,357 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$656,050 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$517,535 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$475,917 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$469,788 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$401,673 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,421,634 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$311,904 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$412,851 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Anthropic a 91% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by end of May, reflecting its recent Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview releases that lead key benchmarks in agentic coding, SWE-bench Verified, and long-context reasoning. These large language models deliver superior instruction-following, natural prose, and autonomous task handling in developer ecosystems, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro in practical evaluations. The strong positioning stems from consistent third-party leaderboard gains and enterprise adoption trends. A last-minute capability jump or new model drop from OpenAI or Google before month-end remains the clearest scenario that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Volume
$8,680,348Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Anthropic a 91% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by end of May, reflecting its recent Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview releases that lead key benchmarks in agentic coding, SWE-bench Verified, and long-context reasoning. These large language models deliver superior instruction-following, natural prose, and autonomous task handling in developer ecosystems, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro in practical evaluations. The strong positioning stems from consistent third-party leaderboard gains and enterprise adoption trends. A last-minute capability jump or new model drop from OpenAI or Google before month-end remains the clearest scenario that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$8,680,348Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Anthropic a 91% implied probability of fielding the best AI model by end of May, reflecting its recent Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview releases that lead key benchmarks in agentic coding, SWE-bench Verified, and long-context reasoning. These large language models deliver superior instruction-following, natural prose, and autonomous task handling in developer ecosystems, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro in practical evaluations. The strong positioning stems from consistent third-party leaderboard gains and enterprise adoption trends. A last-minute capability jump or new model drop from OpenAI or Google before month-end remains the clearest scenario that could shift sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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