Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?

Name: Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?
Start: 2026-05-13T16:52:55.916Z
End: 2026-05-15T12:00:00.000Z

$111 Vol.

15 mai 2026

Constellation Energy

$0 Vol.

12%

Eaton

$0 Vol.

GE Vernova

$0 Vol.

18%

MARA Holdings

$0 Vol.

Micron

$50 Vol.

50%

Oklo

$0 Vol.

Qualcomm

$54 Vol.

TeraWulf

$0 Vol.

Vertiv

$7 Vol.

19%

Vistra Energy

$0 Vol.

50%

$111 Vol.

Constellation Energy

$0 Vol.

12%

Eaton

$0 Vol.

GE Vernova

$0 Vol.

18%

MARA Holdings

$0 Vol.

Micron

$50 Vol.

50%

Oklo

$0 Vol.

Qualcomm

$54 Vol.

TeraWulf

$0 Vol.

Vertiv

$7 Vol.

19%

Vistra Energy

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness LP's next filed 13F-HR filing with the SEC reporting holdings as of March 31, 2026 includes a long position in the specified stock that did not appear in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing submitted by Situational Awareness LP. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "new position" refers to a position appearing in the relevant 13F-HR filing that did not appear in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing submitted by Situational Awareness LP. A position that was not disclosed in the immediately preceding 13F-HR filing for any reason, including confidential treatment, will be considered a new position if it appears in the relevant 13F-HR filing. Long common stock holdings and long call option positions in the specified stock reported in the relevant 13F-HR filing will qualify. Short positions, put option positions, and other bearish positions will not qualify. The relevant filing for this market is the 13F-HR filing reflecting holdings as of March 31, 2026. Amendments (13F-HR/A) filed after the initial 13F-HR submission will not be considered. The standard SEC filing deadline for this report is May 15, 2026. If Situational Awareness LP does not file the relevant 13F-HR with the SEC by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Situational Awareness LP's SEC EDGAR filing page (https://www.sec.gov/edgar/browse/?CIK=2045724).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Micron" at 50%, followed by "Vistra Energy" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?" is "Micron" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vistra Energy" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 50¢ for "Micron" in the "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 50% chance that "Micron" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 50¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 50¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?

Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?"?

What are the current odds for "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?"?

How will "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?" considered reliable?

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What does a price of 50¢ for "Micron" mean?

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