Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no major AWS service disruption by June 30, with "No" shares implying 58.5% probability, following the swift resolution of a thermal event at a US-East-1 data center around May 7 that caused elevated error rates and customer outages like Coinbase's six-hour downtime. AWS mitigated impacts via traffic rerouting and cooling restores, underscoring its multi-availability zone redundancy amid ongoing but regionally contained Middle East (UAE and Bahrain) infrastructure damage from geopolitical conflict since March, affecting services like EC2 and S3 without global spillover. Absent new catalysts such as unannounced maintenance or escalating regional tensions, traders price in AWS's track record of infrequent operational issues, though closely contested odds reflect vigilance for latent vulnerabilities in high-demand cloud infrastructure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAWS service disrupted by June 30?
AWS service disrupted by June 30?
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no major AWS service disruption by June 30, with "No" shares implying 58.5% probability, following the swift resolution of a thermal event at a US-East-1 data center around May 7 that caused elevated error rates and customer outages like Coinbase's six-hour downtime. AWS mitigated impacts via traffic rerouting and cooling restores, underscoring its multi-availability zone redundancy amid ongoing but regionally contained Middle East (UAE and Bahrain) infrastructure damage from geopolitical conflict since March, affecting services like EC2 and S3 without global spillover. Absent new catalysts such as unannounced maintenance or escalating regional tensions, traders price in AWS's track record of infrequent operational issues, though closely contested odds reflect vigilance for latent vulnerabilities in high-demand cloud infrastructure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Volume
$5,203Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no major AWS service disruption by June 30, with "No" shares implying 58.5% probability, following the swift resolution of a thermal event at a US-East-1 data center around May 7 that caused elevated error rates and customer outages like Coinbase's six-hour downtime. AWS mitigated impacts via traffic rerouting and cooling restores, underscoring its multi-availability zone redundancy amid ongoing but regionally contained Middle East (UAE and Bahrain) infrastructure damage from geopolitical conflict since March, affecting services like EC2 and S3 without global spillover. Absent new catalysts such as unannounced maintenance or escalating regional tensions, traders price in AWS's track record of infrequent operational issues, though closely contested odds reflect vigilance for latent vulnerabilities in high-demand cloud infrastructure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Volume
$5,203Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no major AWS service disruption by June 30, with "No" shares implying 58.5% probability, following the swift resolution of a thermal event at a US-East-1 data center around May 7 that caused elevated error rates and customer outages like Coinbase's six-hour downtime. AWS mitigated impacts via traffic rerouting and cooling restores, underscoring its multi-availability zone redundancy amid ongoing but regionally contained Middle East (UAE and Bahrain) infrastructure damage from geopolitical conflict since March, affecting services like EC2 and S3 without global spillover. Absent new catalysts such as unannounced maintenance or escalating regional tensions, traders price in AWS's track record of infrequent operational issues, though closely contested odds reflect vigilance for latent vulnerabilities in high-demand cloud infrastructure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions