Recent model releases have intensified competition among AI labs on math-focused evaluations like those in TextArena, where performance on benchmarks such as MATH-500, LiveBench Mathematics, and FrontierMath determines positioning. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads many reasoning and math leaderboards, while Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Moonshot's Kimi K3 demonstrate strong results in agentic and competition-level tasks. Alibaba's Qwen3 series and Google's Gemini updates have narrowed gaps through specialized math training and efficient scaling, supporting the market's tight distribution with Alibaba at 29.5% implied probability for third place. Traders weigh release timelines, benchmark specialization, and open-weight accessibility against frontier labs' slower iteration cycles through October.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTerceiro melhor Text Arena Math AI Lab no final de outubro?
Terceiro melhor Text Arena Math AI Lab no final de outubro?
Alibaba 30%
Google 22%
OpenAI 16%
Moonshot 11%
NOVO
NOVO
31 out 2026
Alibaba
30%
22%
OpenAI
16%
Moonshot
11%
Z.ai
6%
Meituan
6%
Anthropic
5%
Baidu
5%
Nvidia
4%
MiniMax
4%
Bytedance
4%
Mistral
3%
StepFun
1%
Xiaomi
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Tencent
1%
Amazon
1%
Meta
13%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba 30%
Google 22%
OpenAI 16%
Moonshot 11%
NOVO
NOVO
31 out 2026
Alibaba
$806 Vol.
30%
$2,351 Vol.
22%
OpenAI
$334 Vol.
16%
Moonshot
$205 Vol.
11%
Z.ai
$305 Vol.
6%
Meituan
$590 Vol.
6%
Anthropic
$195 Vol.
5%
Baidu
$225 Vol.
5%
Nvidia
$263 Vol.
4%
MiniMax
$272 Vol.
4%
Bytedance
$273 Vol.
4%
Mistral
$284 Vol.
3%
StepFun
$144 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$195 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$190 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$180 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$195 Vol.
1%
Meta
$199 Vol.
13%
DeepSeek
$180 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases have intensified competition among AI labs on math-focused evaluations like those in TextArena, where performance on benchmarks such as MATH-500, LiveBench Mathematics, and FrontierMath determines positioning. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads many reasoning and math leaderboards, while Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Moonshot's Kimi K3 demonstrate strong results in agentic and competition-level tasks. Alibaba's Qwen3 series and Google's Gemini updates have narrowed gaps through specialized math training and efficient scaling, supporting the market's tight distribution with Alibaba at 29.5% implied probability for third place. Traders weigh release timelines, benchmark specialization, and open-weight accessibility against frontier labs' slower iteration cycles through October.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Volume
$7,530Data de Término
31 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases have intensified competition among AI labs on math-focused evaluations like those in TextArena, where performance on benchmarks such as MATH-500, LiveBench Mathematics, and FrontierMath determines positioning. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads many reasoning and math leaderboards, while Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Moonshot's Kimi K3 demonstrate strong results in agentic and competition-level tasks. Alibaba's Qwen3 series and Google's Gemini updates have narrowed gaps through specialized math training and efficient scaling, supporting the market's tight distribution with Alibaba at 29.5% implied probability for third place. Traders weigh release timelines, benchmark specialization, and open-weight accessibility against frontier labs' slower iteration cycles through October.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$7,530Data de Término
31 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases have intensified competition among AI labs on math-focused evaluations like those in TextArena, where performance on benchmarks such as MATH-500, LiveBench Mathematics, and FrontierMath determines positioning. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol currently leads many reasoning and math leaderboards, while Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 and Moonshot's Kimi K3 demonstrate strong results in agentic and competition-level tasks. Alibaba's Qwen3 series and Google's Gemini updates have narrowed gaps through specialized math training and efficient scaling, supporting the market's tight distribution with Alibaba at 29.5% implied probability for third place. Traders weigh release timelines, benchmark specialization, and open-weight accessibility against frontier labs' slower iteration cycles through October.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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